Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s October 28 press conference follows the FOMC’s decision to hold the federal funds target range at 3.75–4.00 percent amid September CPI inflation of 3.7 percent. Traders focus on his emphasis on price stability after the September 25-basis-point hike, with recent IMF remarks linking AI-driven capital expenditure to near-term demand pressures that outpace productivity gains. Warsh has reiterated a data-dependent stance without forward guidance on December policy, while noting robust economic growth, high productivity, and resilient labor markets. Key variables shaping odds include repetition of terms tied to inflation, AI, oil prices, and productivity amid global tightening and pre-midterm uncertainty. The conference offers the primary near-term catalyst for assessing whether the Fed views current inflation as sufficiently restrictive.
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