Xi Jinping's consolidated grip on the Chinese Communist Party and its military structures underpins the near-certain trader consensus that he will remain in power through 2026. No leadership transition is scheduled ahead of the 21st Party Congress in 2027, and recent purges of senior officials and generals have targeted perceived disloyalty without evidence of elite defections or organized opposition. At age 73, Xi shows no public health concerns or retirement signals, and ongoing personnel management continues to reinforce his authority. A sudden medical event or abrupt fracture among remaining top leaders could still shift outcomes before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline, though such developments remain low-probability risks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoXi Jinping fuori prima del 2027?
Xi Jinping fuori prima del 2027?
Sì
5% probabilità
$12,040,386 Vol.
$12,040,386 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Guadagna il 3.25%
Sì
5% probabilità
$12,040,386 Vol.
$12,040,386 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Guadagna il 3.25%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's consolidated grip on the Chinese Communist Party and its military structures underpins the near-certain trader consensus that he will remain in power through 2026. No leadership transition is scheduled ahead of the 21st Party Congress in 2027, and recent purges of senior officials and generals have targeted perceived disloyalty without evidence of elite defections or organized opposition. At age 73, Xi shows no public health concerns or retirement signals, and ongoing personnel management continues to reinforce his authority. A sudden medical event or abrupt fracture among remaining top leaders could still shift outcomes before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline, though such developments remain low-probability risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jul 3, 2025, 4:35 PM ET
Volume
$12,040,386Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 3, 2025, 4:35 PM ETRisolutore
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's consolidated grip on the Chinese Communist Party and its military structures underpins the near-certain trader consensus that he will remain in power through 2026. No leadership transition is scheduled ahead of the 21st Party Congress in 2027, and recent purges of senior officials and generals have targeted perceived disloyalty without evidence of elite defections or organized opposition. At age 73, Xi shows no public health concerns or retirement signals, and ongoing personnel management continues to reinforce his authority. A sudden medical event or abrupt fracture among remaining top leaders could still shift outcomes before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline, though such developments remain low-probability risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$12,040,386Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 3, 2025, 4:35 PM ETRisolutore
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Xi Jinping's consolidated grip on the Chinese Communist Party and its military structures underpins the near-certain trader consensus that he will remain in power through 2026. No leadership transition is scheduled ahead of the 21st Party Congress in 2027, and recent purges of senior officials and generals have targeted perceived disloyalty without evidence of elite defections or organized opposition. At age 73, Xi shows no public health concerns or retirement signals, and ongoing personnel management continues to reinforce his authority. A sudden medical event or abrupt fracture among remaining top leaders could still shift outcomes before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline, though such developments remain low-probability risks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti