The Bank of England’s April 30 decision to hold the Bank Rate at 3.75% with an 8-1 vote, coupled with March CPI inflation at 3.3% and energy-price pass-through from the Middle East conflict, has anchored trader consensus at an 84.5% implied probability of no change at the June 18 meeting. Recent labor-market data showing regular earnings growth slowing to a five-year low of 3.6% further supports the view that policymakers will remain on hold rather than risk a premature tightening that could exacerbate downside growth risks. While Governor Bailey’s warnings of inflation potentially exceeding 3.5% later this year sustain the 14.5% odds on a 25-basis-point hike, the absence of fresh data releases sufficient to shift the balance keeps cut probabilities below 1%.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日変更なし 85%
25ベーシスポイントの引き上げ 15%
50ベーシスポイント以上の利上げ <1%
50ベーシスポイント以上の利下げ <1%
$147,279 Vol.
$147,279 Vol.
2026/06/18
50ベーシスポイント以上の利下げ
<1%
25ベーシスポイントの引き下げ
<1%
変更なし
85%
25ベーシスポイントの引き上げ
15%
50ベーシスポイント以上の利上げ
1%
変更なし 85%
25ベーシスポイントの引き上げ 15%
50ベーシスポイント以上の利上げ <1%
50ベーシスポイント以上の利下げ <1%
$147,279 Vol.
$147,279 Vol.
2026/06/18
50ベーシスポイント以上の利下げ
$24,993 Vol.
<1%
25ベーシスポイントの引き下げ
$25,323 Vol.
<1%
変更なし
$30,934 Vol.
85%
25ベーシスポイントの引き上げ
$41,099 Vol.
15%
50ベーシスポイント以上の利上げ
$24,931 Vol.
1%
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of England’s April 30 decision to hold the Bank Rate at 3.75% with an 8-1 vote, coupled with March CPI inflation at 3.3% and energy-price pass-through from the Middle East conflict, has anchored trader consensus at an 84.5% implied probability of no change at the June 18 meeting. Recent labor-market data showing regular earnings growth slowing to a five-year low of 3.6% further supports the view that policymakers will remain on hold rather than risk a premature tightening that could exacerbate downside growth risks. While Governor Bailey’s warnings of inflation potentially exceeding 3.5% later this year sustain the 14.5% odds on a 25-basis-point hike, the absence of fresh data releases sufficient to shift the balance keeps cut probabilities below 1%.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
マーケット開始日： Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
音量
$147,279終了日
2026/06/18マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of England’s April 30 decision to hold the Bank Rate at 3.75% with an 8-1 vote, coupled with March CPI inflation at 3.3% and energy-price pass-through from the Middle East conflict, has anchored trader consensus at an 84.5% implied probability of no change at the June 18 meeting. Recent labor-market data showing regular earnings growth slowing to a five-year low of 3.6% further supports the view that policymakers will remain on hold rather than risk a premature tightening that could exacerbate downside growth risks. While Governor Bailey’s warnings of inflation potentially exceeding 3.5% later this year sustain the 14.5% odds on a 25-basis-point hike, the absence of fresh data releases sufficient to shift the balance keeps cut probabilities below 1%.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
音量
$147,279終了日
2026/06/18マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of England’s April 30 decision to hold the Bank Rate at 3.75% with an 8-1 vote, coupled with March CPI inflation at 3.3% and energy-price pass-through from the Middle East conflict, has anchored trader consensus at an 84.5% implied probability of no change at the June 18 meeting. Recent labor-market data showing regular earnings growth slowing to a five-year low of 3.6% further supports the view that policymakers will remain on hold rather than risk a premature tightening that could exacerbate downside growth risks. While Governor Bailey’s warnings of inflation potentially exceeding 3.5% later this year sustain the 14.5% odds on a 25-basis-point hike, the absence of fresh data releases sufficient to shift the balance keeps cut probabilities below 1%.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問