The trial of Duane “Keefe D” Davis, charged with orchestrating Tupac Shakur’s 1996 killing, began in Las Vegas this week with opening statements and early testimony, placing his prior admissions at the center of the prosecution’s case. Prosecutors highlight Davis’s own detailed accounts from police interviews and his 2019 memoir describing how he supplied the gun and directed the drive-by in retaliation for his nephew’s beating at the MGM Grand, evidence they say directly implicates him despite his not pulling the trigger. Davis has pleaded not guilty, recanting those statements as fabrications meant to sell books, while the defense labels the narrative fiction and notes decades passed without charges. The ongoing month-long trial, featuring security video, forensic details, and witness cross-examinations, leaves room for reasonable doubt or jury skepticism, supporting the market’s 62.5% implied probability for conviction as traders weigh the strength of self-incriminating statements against recantation risks and evidentiary gaps.