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icon for イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年8月14日〜8月21日?

イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年8月14日〜8月21日?

icon for イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年8月14日〜8月21日?

イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年8月14日〜8月21日?

140-159 26%

160-179 24%

120-139 18.8%

180-199 18%

Polymarket

$798,395 Vol.

140-159 26%

160-179 24%

120-139 18.8%

180-199 18%

Polymarket

$798,395 Vol.

40-59

$1,883 Vol.

<1%

60-79

$44,045 Vol.

<1%

80-99

$83,848 Vol.

<1%

100-119

$88,075 Vol.

7%

120-139

$53,900 Vol.

19%

140-159

$16,131 Vol.

26%

160-179

$21,742 Vol.

24%

180-199

$30,631 Vol.

18%

200-219

$17,197 Vol.

7%

220-239

$13,534 Vol.

2%

240-259

$17,164 Vol.

1%

260-279

$23,724 Vol.

<1%

280-299

$48,920 Vol.

<1%

300-319

$51,495 Vol.

<1%

320-339

$56,042 Vol.

<1%

340-359

$38,794 Vol.

<1%

360-379

$35,717 Vol.

<1%

380-399

$43,006 Vol.

<1%

400-419

$28,243 Vol.

<1%

420-439

$10,328 Vol.

<1%

440-459

$7,201 Vol.

<1%

460-479

$6,646 Vol.

<1%

480-499

$6,646 Vol.

<1%

500+

$48,717 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader sentiment for Elon Musk’s weekly tweet volume clusters tightly around the 140-179 range because his baseline posting pace—driven by SpaceX launch cadence, Tesla updates, and real-time engagement on X—has held steady near that level in recent comparable periods. Momentum shifts hinge on news velocity: simultaneous Falcon launches or Grok-related buzz can push daily output higher, while quieter stretches or travel keep counts in the lower band. With the two leading buckets separated by just two points, traders weigh incremental factors such as any mid-week product announcements or political commentary spikes against the historical tendency for replies to inflate visible activity without always moving totals dramatically. The week’s remaining days and any unforeseen platform or industry developments remain the key swing variables.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$798,395
終了日
2026/08/21
マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader sentiment for Elon Musk’s weekly tweet volume clusters tightly around the 140-179 range because his baseline posting pace—driven by SpaceX launch cadence, Tesla updates, and real-time engagement on X—has held steady near that level in recent comparable periods. Momentum shifts hinge on news velocity: simultaneous Falcon launches or Grok-related buzz can push daily output higher, while quieter stretches or travel keep counts in the lower band. With the two leading buckets separated by just two points, traders weigh incremental factors such as any mid-week product announcements or political commentary spikes against the historical tendency for replies to inflate visible activity without always moving totals dramatically. The week’s remaining days and any unforeseen platform or industry developments remain the key swing variables.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$798,395
終了日
2026/08/21
マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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よくある質問

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年8月14日〜8月21日?」はPolymarket上の26個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「140-159」で26%、次いで「160-179」が24%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、26¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に26%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年8月14日〜8月21日?」は$798.4Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Aug 11, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年8月14日〜8月21日?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている26個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年8月14日〜8月21日?」の現在のフロントランナーは「140-159」で26%であり、市場がこの結果に26%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「160-179」で24%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年8月14日〜8月21日?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。