Elon Musk’s established posting patterns on X underpin the market’s overwhelming consensus around the 40-64 tweet range for August 27–29. Traders tracking his historical volume—typically 13–21 posts daily outside major breaking events—see the three-day total aligning closely with recent baselines, reinforced by the absence of extraordinary catalysts in the final days of the period. Real capital backing this outcome reflects the “wisdom of crowds” assessing his routine activity levels. An upset into higher brackets would require a sudden major announcement, controversy, or product launch driving sustained engagement, while significantly lower counts could only result from an extended period offline or travel that sharply curtails his usual cadence.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日40〜64 100.0%
40未満 <1%
65〜89 <1%
90~114 <1%
$560,600 Vol.
$560,600 Vol.
40未満
いいえ
40〜64
はい
65〜89
いいえ
90~114
いいえ
115~139
いいえ
140~164
いいえ
165〜189
いいえ
190~214
いいえ
215~239
いいえ
240以上
いいえ
40〜64 100.0%
40未満 <1%
65〜89 <1%
90~114 <1%
$560,600 Vol.
$560,600 Vol.
40未満
いいえ
40〜64
はい
65〜89
いいえ
90~114
いいえ
115~139
いいえ
140~164
いいえ
165〜189
いいえ
190~214
いいえ
215~239
いいえ
240以上
いいえ
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日: Aug 24, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Elon Musk’s established posting patterns on X underpin the market’s overwhelming consensus around the 40-64 tweet range for August 27–29. Traders tracking his historical volume—typically 13–21 posts daily outside major breaking events—see the three-day total aligning closely with recent baselines, reinforced by the absence of extraordinary catalysts in the final days of the period. Real capital backing this outcome reflects the “wisdom of crowds” assessing his routine activity levels. An upset into higher brackets would require a sudden major announcement, controversy, or product launch driving sustained engagement, while significantly lower counts could only result from an extended period offline or travel that sharply curtails his usual cadence.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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