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米国で取引するにはpolymarket.us

icon for ニューヨーク市長#ポスト2026年9月1日~ 9月8日?

ニューヨーク市長#ポスト2026年9月1日~ 9月8日?

icon for ニューヨーク市長#ポスト2026年9月1日~ 9月8日?

ニューヨーク市長#ポスト2026年9月1日~ 9月8日?

20-39 100.0%

<20 <1%

40-59 <1%

60-79 <1%

Polymarket

$15,480 Vol.

20-39 100.0%

<20 <1%

40-59 <1%

60-79 <1%

Polymarket

$15,480 Vol.

<20

$2,716 Vol.

No

20-39

$5,848 Vol.

Yes

40-59

$2,550 Vol.

No

60-79

$663 Vol.

No

80-99

$761 Vol.

No

100-119

$369 Vol.

No

120-139

$325 Vol.

No

140-159

$484 Vol.

No

160-179

$631 Vol.

No

180-199

$417 Vol.

No

200+

$717 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Zohran Mamdani, who assumed office as New York City mayor on January 1, 2026, maintains a steady posting cadence on the official @NYCMayor X account.** Recent comparable weeks show the account typically generating 20-39 original posts, quote posts, and reposts combined, centered on routine municipal updates such as public safety, education initiatives, transportation projects, and seasonal preparedness. Early September 2026 activity aligns with this pattern, featuring standard announcements around Labor Day observances, 9/11 commemoration planning, and executive actions without major emergencies, budget deadlines, or high-profile crises that would elevate volume. Trader consensus reflects this established baseline, pricing the 20-39 range at near-certainty while assigning negligible odds to higher or lower brackets. A sudden citywide emergency, contentious legislative vote, or major diplomatic development within the resolution window could increase output, though no such catalysts appear scheduled for the period.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$15,480
終了日
2026/09/08
マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

結算ソース

https://x.com/NYCMayor

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Zohran Mamdani, who assumed office as New York City mayor on January 1, 2026, maintains a steady posting cadence on the official @NYCMayor X account.** Recent comparable weeks show the account typically generating 20-39 original posts, quote posts, and reposts combined, centered on routine municipal updates such as public safety, education initiatives, transportation projects, and seasonal preparedness. Early September 2026 activity aligns with this pattern, featuring standard announcements around Labor Day observances, 9/11 commemoration planning, and executive actions without major emergencies, budget deadlines, or high-profile crises that would elevate volume. Trader consensus reflects this established baseline, pricing the 20-39 range at near-certainty while assigning negligible odds to higher or lower brackets. A sudden citywide emergency, contentious legislative vote, or major diplomatic development within the resolution window could increase output, though no such catalysts appear scheduled for the period.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$15,480
終了日
2026/09/08
マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

結算ソース

https://x.com/NYCMayor

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ニューヨーク市長#ポスト2026年9月1日~ 9月8日?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「20-39」で100%、次いで「<20」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ニューヨーク市長#ポスト2026年9月1日~ 9月8日?」は$15.5Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Aug 29, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ニューヨーク市長#ポスト2026年9月1日~ 9月8日?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ニューヨーク市長#ポスト2026年9月1日~ 9月8日?」の現在のフロントランナーは「20-39」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「<20」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ニューヨーク市長#ポスト2026年9月1日~ 9月8日?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。