President Trump’s administration has prioritized a deregulatory approach to artificial intelligence since early 2025, revoking the prior administration’s AI order and issuing executive actions focused on innovation, preemption of state-level rules, and voluntary government-industry collaboration rather than mandates. The June 2026 Executive Order on Promoting Advanced Artificial Intelligence Innovation and Security established a voluntary 30-day pre-release review framework for frontier models alongside cybersecurity directives, while explicitly disclaiming licensing or permitting requirements. Recent statements in September 2026 reinforced this stance, rejecting industry calls for new limits and emphasizing enforcement against criminal misuse over development restrictions. Key influences include administration emphasis on maintaining U.S. technological dominance versus China and input from tech advisors favoring minimal barriers. No scheduled legislative or executive milestones in the immediate term point toward tighter controls.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/09/30
9月30日
3%
10月31日
8%
12月31日
15%
$1,625 Vol.
9月30日
$850 Vol.
3%
10月31日
$534 Vol.
8%
12月31日
$241 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump’s administration has prioritized a deregulatory approach to artificial intelligence since early 2025, revoking the prior administration’s AI order and issuing executive actions focused on innovation, preemption of state-level rules, and voluntary government-industry collaboration rather than mandates. The June 2026 Executive Order on Promoting Advanced Artificial Intelligence Innovation and Security established a voluntary 30-day pre-release review framework for frontier models alongside cybersecurity directives, while explicitly disclaiming licensing or permitting requirements. Recent statements in September 2026 reinforced this stance, rejecting industry calls for new limits and emphasizing enforcement against criminal misuse over development restrictions. Key influences include administration emphasis on maintaining U.S. technological dominance versus China and input from tech advisors favoring minimal barriers. No scheduled legislative or executive milestones in the immediate term point toward tighter controls.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Sep 17, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
音量
$1,625終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 2:28 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump’s administration has prioritized a deregulatory approach to artificial intelligence since early 2025, revoking the prior administration’s AI order and issuing executive actions focused on innovation, preemption of state-level rules, and voluntary government-industry collaboration rather than mandates. The June 2026 Executive Order on Promoting Advanced Artificial Intelligence Innovation and Security established a voluntary 30-day pre-release review framework for frontier models alongside cybersecurity directives, while explicitly disclaiming licensing or permitting requirements. Recent statements in September 2026 reinforced this stance, rejecting industry calls for new limits and emphasizing enforcement against criminal misuse over development restrictions. Key influences include administration emphasis on maintaining U.S. technological dominance versus China and input from tech advisors favoring minimal barriers. No scheduled legislative or executive milestones in the immediate term point toward tighter controls.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,625終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 2:28 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...President Trump’s administration has prioritized a deregulatory approach to artificial intelligence since early 2025, revoking the prior administration’s AI order and issuing executive actions focused on innovation, preemption of state-level rules, and voluntary government-industry collaboration rather than mandates. The June 2026 Executive Order on Promoting Advanced Artificial Intelligence Innovation and Security established a voluntary 30-day pre-release review framework for frontier models alongside cybersecurity directives, while explicitly disclaiming licensing or permitting requirements. Recent statements in September 2026 reinforced this stance, rejecting industry calls for new limits and emphasizing enforcement against criminal misuse over development restrictions. Key influences include administration emphasis on maintaining U.S. technological dominance versus China and input from tech advisors favoring minimal barriers. No scheduled legislative or executive milestones in the immediate term point toward tighter controls.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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