Recent polling aggregates from sources like RealClearPolitics and Rasmussen place Donald Trump's job approval in the upper 30s to low 40s as of late August 2026, with individual surveys ranging from 33% to 43% amid steady partisan divides. Economic concerns including inflation and trade policy, alongside foreign policy developments tied to Iran and related energy costs, have contributed to net negative readings and some softening in strong Republican support. The tight distribution of market probabilities around the 38–39 range reflects this recent stability in aggregates and limited volatility in the final days before September 4. A major announcement, economic data release, or escalation in ongoing policy disputes could shift sentiment enough to separate the leading bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日38.5～38.9 31%
38.0～38.4 29%
39.0以上 23%
37.5～37.9 16%
新規
新規
2026/09/04
＜37.0
4%
37.0〜37.4
7%
37.5～37.9
16%
38.0～38.4
29%
38.5～38.9
31%
39.0以上
23%
38.5～38.9 31%
38.0～38.4 29%
39.0以上 23%
37.5～37.9 16%
新規
新規
2026/09/04
＜37.0
$41 Vol.
4%
37.0〜37.4
$21 Vol.
7%
37.5～37.9
$41 Vol.
16%
38.0～38.4
$21 Vol.
29%
38.5～38.9
$176 Vol.
31%
39.0以上
$26 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates from sources like RealClearPolitics and Rasmussen place Donald Trump's job approval in the upper 30s to low 40s as of late August 2026, with individual surveys ranging from 33% to 43% amid steady partisan divides. Economic concerns including inflation and trade policy, alongside foreign policy developments tied to Iran and related energy costs, have contributed to net negative readings and some softening in strong Republican support. The tight distribution of market probabilities around the 38–39 range reflects this recent stability in aggregates and limited volatility in the final days before September 4. A major announcement, economic data release, or escalation in ongoing policy disputes could shift sentiment enough to separate the leading bins.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
マーケット開始日： Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
音量
$326終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates from sources like RealClearPolitics and Rasmussen place Donald Trump's job approval in the upper 30s to low 40s as of late August 2026, with individual surveys ranging from 33% to 43% amid steady partisan divides. Economic concerns including inflation and trade policy, alongside foreign policy developments tied to Iran and related energy costs, have contributed to net negative readings and some softening in strong Republican support. The tight distribution of market probabilities around the 38–39 range reflects this recent stability in aggregates and limited volatility in the final days before September 4. A major announcement, economic data release, or escalation in ongoing policy disputes could shift sentiment enough to separate the leading bins.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$326終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates from sources like RealClearPolitics and Rasmussen place Donald Trump's job approval in the upper 30s to low 40s as of late August 2026, with individual surveys ranging from 33% to 43% amid steady partisan divides. Economic concerns including inflation and trade policy, alongside foreign policy developments tied to Iran and related energy costs, have contributed to net negative readings and some softening in strong Republican support. The tight distribution of market probabilities around the 38–39 range reflects this recent stability in aggregates and limited volatility in the final days before September 4. A major announcement, economic data release, or escalation in ongoing policy disputes could shift sentiment enough to separate the leading bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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