The Department of Justice's January 30, 2026, release of over 3.5 million pages of Epstein-related files—mandated by the 2025 Epstein Files Transparency Act—dominates trader consensus, with documents including flight logs, emails involving figures like Elon Musk and Bill Gates, and investigative materials from cases against Epstein and Maxwell, but no singular "client list" implicating individuals in sex trafficking or related crimes, as confirmed by a prior FBI review. House Oversight Committee Chairman James Comer's March 2026 deposition of Epstein's accountant revealed five financial clients, including Les Wexner, but not criminal participants. Absent new releases or hearings ahead of the June 30 deadline, traders price negligible odds on qualifying files emerging from DOJ, Congress, or other entities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$4,268,686 Vol.
6月30日
2%
$4,268,686 Vol.
6月30日
2%
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: Dec 22, 2025, 7:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Department of Justice's January 30, 2026, release of over 3.5 million pages of Epstein-related files—mandated by the 2025 Epstein Files Transparency Act—dominates trader consensus, with documents including flight logs, emails involving figures like Elon Musk and Bill Gates, and investigative materials from cases against Epstein and Maxwell, but no singular "client list" implicating individuals in sex trafficking or related crimes, as confirmed by a prior FBI review. House Oversight Committee Chairman James Comer's March 2026 deposition of Epstein's accountant revealed five financial clients, including Les Wexner, but not criminal participants. Absent new releases or hearings ahead of the June 30 deadline, traders price negligible odds on qualifying files emerging from DOJ, Congress, or other entities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問