Erdoğan's constitutional term as Turkish president extends through 2028 following his 2023 reelection, with the next scheduled vote set for that year, establishing a primary structural barrier to early removal. Recent developments reinforce continuity, including his active role in signing a trilateral mutual defense agreement with Saudi Arabia and Pakistan in Mecca on August 7, 2026, alongside ongoing diplomatic engagements on regional issues and domestic consolidation of authority through bodies like the Cyber Security Board. These factors, combined with the absence of imminent triggers such as snap elections, health crises, or successful opposition challenges, underpin the trader consensus assigning a 93.5% implied probability to "No," consistent with historical patterns of incumbency stability in Turkey's electoral system.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
7% 確率
$607,826 Vol.
$607,826 Vol.
2026/12/31
3.25%を獲得
はい
7% 確率
$607,826 Vol.
$607,826 Vol.
2026/12/31
3.25%を獲得
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Erdoğan's constitutional term as Turkish president extends through 2028 following his 2023 reelection, with the next scheduled vote set for that year, establishing a primary structural barrier to early removal. Recent developments reinforce continuity, including his active role in signing a trilateral mutual defense agreement with Saudi Arabia and Pakistan in Mecca on August 7, 2026, alongside ongoing diplomatic engagements on regional issues and domestic consolidation of authority through bodies like the Cyber Security Board. These factors, combined with the absence of imminent triggers such as snap elections, health crises, or successful opposition challenges, underpin the trader consensus assigning a 93.5% implied probability to "No," consistent with historical patterns of incumbency stability in Turkey's electoral system.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
音量
$607,826終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETリゾルバー
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Erdoğan's constitutional term as Turkish president extends through 2028 following his 2023 reelection, with the next scheduled vote set for that year, establishing a primary structural barrier to early removal. Recent developments reinforce continuity, including his active role in signing a trilateral mutual defense agreement with Saudi Arabia and Pakistan in Mecca on August 7, 2026, alongside ongoing diplomatic engagements on regional issues and domestic consolidation of authority through bodies like the Cyber Security Board. These factors, combined with the absence of imminent triggers such as snap elections, health crises, or successful opposition challenges, underpin the trader consensus assigning a 93.5% implied probability to "No," consistent with historical patterns of incumbency stability in Turkey's electoral system.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$607,826終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETリゾルバー
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Erdoğan's constitutional term as Turkish president extends through 2028 following his 2023 reelection, with the next scheduled vote set for that year, establishing a primary structural barrier to early removal. Recent developments reinforce continuity, including his active role in signing a trilateral mutual defense agreement with Saudi Arabia and Pakistan in Mecca on August 7, 2026, alongside ongoing diplomatic engagements on regional issues and domestic consolidation of authority through bodies like the Cyber Security Board. These factors, combined with the absence of imminent triggers such as snap elections, health crises, or successful opposition challenges, underpin the trader consensus assigning a 93.5% implied probability to "No," consistent with historical patterns of incumbency stability in Turkey's electoral system.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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