**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather for Austin on August 10, 2026, center on daily highs of 96–99°F, aligning closely with the market’s leading bins of 96–97°F (51.5%) and 98–99°F (30.5%).** These probabilities reflect aggregated trader consensus on model guidance showing typical mid-August conditions under a subtropical ridge, with southerly flow and high solar insolation driving daytime heating near the long-term average high of 97–98°F. Recent observations confirm persistent heat, with actual highs of 98–99°F in the preceding days and no significant frontal passage or increased cloud cover expected to alter the pattern. Ensemble spreads remain modest, limiting upside risk to the 100–101°F bin (5.0%) or downside to 94–95°F (13.5%), while extremes below 94°F or above 101°F carry low implied odds consistent with climatological rarity in early August. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours represent the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月10日のオースティンの最高気温は？
8月10日のオースティンの最高気温は？
96～97°F 52%
98〜99°F 31%
94〜95°F 14%
100〜101°F 5%
新規
新規
2026/08/10
87°F以下
<1%
88〜89°F
1%
90～91°F
1%
92〜93°F
2%
94〜95°F
14%
96～97°F
52%
98〜99°F
31%
100〜101°F
5%
102〜103°F
3%
104～105°F
<1%
106°F以上
<1%
96～97°F 52%
98〜99°F 31%
94〜95°F 14%
100〜101°F 5%
新規
新規
2026/08/10
87°F以下
$51 Vol.
<1%
88〜89°F
$129 Vol.
1%
90～91°F
$46 Vol.
1%
92〜93°F
$33 Vol.
2%
94〜95°F
$250 Vol.
14%
96～97°F
$132 Vol.
52%
98〜99°F
$59 Vol.
31%
100〜101°F
$28 Vol.
5%
102〜103°F
$39 Vol.
3%
104～105°F
$273 Vol.
<1%
106°F以上
$207 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather for Austin on August 10, 2026, center on daily highs of 96–99°F, aligning closely with the market’s leading bins of 96–97°F (51.5%) and 98–99°F (30.5%).** These probabilities reflect aggregated trader consensus on model guidance showing typical mid-August conditions under a subtropical ridge, with southerly flow and high solar insolation driving daytime heating near the long-term average high of 97–98°F.
Recent observations confirm persistent heat, with actual highs of 98–99°F in the preceding days and no significant frontal passage or increased cloud cover expected to alter the pattern. Ensemble spreads remain modest, limiting upside risk to the 100–101°F bin (5.0%) or downside to 94–95°F (13.5%), while extremes below 94°F or above 101°F carry low implied odds consistent with climatological rarity in early August. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours represent the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
音量
$962終了日
2026/08/10マーケット開始日
Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather for Austin on August 10, 2026, center on daily highs of 96–99°F, aligning closely with the market’s leading bins of 96–97°F (51.5%) and 98–99°F (30.5%).** These probabilities reflect aggregated trader consensus on model guidance showing typical mid-August conditions under a subtropical ridge, with southerly flow and high solar insolation driving daytime heating near the long-term average high of 97–98°F.
Recent observations confirm persistent heat, with actual highs of 98–99°F in the preceding days and no significant frontal passage or increased cloud cover expected to alter the pattern. Ensemble spreads remain modest, limiting upside risk to the 100–101°F bin (5.0%) or downside to 94–95°F (13.5%), while extremes below 94°F or above 101°F carry low implied odds consistent with climatological rarity in early August. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours represent the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$962終了日
2026/08/10マーケット開始日
Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ET**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather for Austin on August 10, 2026, center on daily highs of 96–99°F, aligning closely with the market’s leading bins of 96–97°F (51.5%) and 98–99°F (30.5%).** These probabilities reflect aggregated trader consensus on model guidance showing typical mid-August conditions under a subtropical ridge, with southerly flow and high solar insolation driving daytime heating near the long-term average high of 97–98°F. Recent observations confirm persistent heat, with actual highs of 98–99°F in the preceding days and no significant frontal passage or increased cloud cover expected to alter the pattern. Ensemble spreads remain modest, limiting upside risk to the 100–101°F bin (5.0%) or downside to 94–95°F (13.5%), while extremes below 94°F or above 101°F carry low implied odds consistent with climatological rarity in early August. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours represent the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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