Recent forecasts from meteorological services, including model consensus runs, project a daily maximum of 26–27°C in Beijing on August 12, 2026, due to widespread rain and thundershowers that reduce solar radiation while enhancing evaporative cooling and cloud cover. These unsettled atmospheric conditions align with typical late-summer monsoon influences, keeping surface heating below seasonal norms where clear skies often permit highs near 30–32°C. The market's 100% implied probability for 27°C reflects this robust agreement across authoritative guidance. A rapid clearing of clouds or delayed precipitation onset could allow greater insolation and push temperatures higher, though current observations indicate low likelihood of such shifts before peak heating.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月12日の北京の最高気温は?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$101,306 Vol.
$101,306 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$101,306 Vol.
$101,306 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Recent forecasts from meteorological services, including model consensus runs, project a daily maximum of 26–27°C in Beijing on August 12, 2026, due to widespread rain and thundershowers that reduce solar radiation while enhancing evaporative cooling and cloud cover. These unsettled atmospheric conditions align with typical late-summer monsoon influences, keeping surface heating below seasonal norms where clear skies often permit highs near 30–32°C. The market's 100% implied probability for 27°C reflects this robust agreement across authoritative guidance. A rapid clearing of clouds or delayed precipitation onset could allow greater insolation and push temperatures higher, though current observations indicate low likelihood of such shifts before peak heating.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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