Current NOAA and NWS ensemble forecasts for Chicago on August 7 point to a high near the seasonal normal of 83.5°F, with traders concentrating probability on the 84–87°F bins due to uncertainty in afternoon mixing and lake-breeze timing. Recent hazy conditions from elevated wildfire smoke have modestly suppressed daytime heating, while Lake Michigan’s moderating influence and variable cloud cover create a narrow range of possible outcomes. Model consensus shows limited potential for stronger southerly flow to push readings into the upper 80s, keeping higher bins at low implied odds. Updated short-range guidance and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月7日のシカゴの最高気温は？
8月7日のシカゴの最高気温は？
86～87°F 39%
84〜85°F 33%
88〜89°F 16%
82〜83°F 12%
新規
新規
2026/08/07
75°F以下
1%
76～77°F
1%
78～79°F
4%
80〜81°F
3%
82〜83°F
12%
84〜85°F
33%
86～87°F
39%
88〜89°F
16%
90～91°F
7%
92～93°F
3%
94°F以上
1%
86～87°F 39%
84〜85°F 33%
88〜89°F 16%
82〜83°F 12%
新規
新規
2026/08/07
75°F以下
$160 Vol.
1%
76～77°F
$160 Vol.
1%
78～79°F
$86 Vol.
4%
80〜81°F
$0 Vol.
3%
82〜83°F
$63 Vol.
12%
84〜85°F
$108 Vol.
33%
86～87°F
$317 Vol.
39%
88〜89°F
$62 Vol.
16%
90～91°F
$51 Vol.
7%
92～93°F
$5 Vol.
3%
94°F以上
$25 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current NOAA and NWS ensemble forecasts for Chicago on August 7 point to a high near the seasonal normal of 83.5°F, with traders concentrating probability on the 84–87°F bins due to uncertainty in afternoon mixing and lake-breeze timing. Recent hazy conditions from elevated wildfire smoke have modestly suppressed daytime heating, while Lake Michigan’s moderating influence and variable cloud cover create a narrow range of possible outcomes. Model consensus shows limited potential for stronger southerly flow to push readings into the upper 80s, keeping higher bins at low implied odds. Updated short-range guidance and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
音量
$793終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current NOAA and NWS ensemble forecasts for Chicago on August 7 point to a high near the seasonal normal of 83.5°F, with traders concentrating probability on the 84–87°F bins due to uncertainty in afternoon mixing and lake-breeze timing. Recent hazy conditions from elevated wildfire smoke have modestly suppressed daytime heating, while Lake Michigan’s moderating influence and variable cloud cover create a narrow range of possible outcomes. Model consensus shows limited potential for stronger southerly flow to push readings into the upper 80s, keeping higher bins at low implied odds. Updated short-range guidance and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$793終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETCurrent NOAA and NWS ensemble forecasts for Chicago on August 7 point to a high near the seasonal normal of 83.5°F, with traders concentrating probability on the 84–87°F bins due to uncertainty in afternoon mixing and lake-breeze timing. Recent hazy conditions from elevated wildfire smoke have modestly suppressed daytime heating, while Lake Michigan’s moderating influence and variable cloud cover create a narrow range of possible outcomes. Model consensus shows limited potential for stronger southerly flow to push readings into the upper 80s, keeping higher bins at low implied odds. Updated short-range guidance and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問