Prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, including widespread cloud cover, scattered rainshowers, and thunderstorms, are the main driver keeping Manila's daytime maxima moderate. PAGASA forecasts for August 8, 2026, indicate a 25–31°C range, consistent with long-term August averages near 30–31°C under high humidity and frequent precipitation that limits solar heating. Recent monitoring shows no heatwave signals or clear-sky periods that would push readings above 31°C, aligning trader consensus around 28–30°C as the most probable outcomes while assigning low odds to extremes. Updated model runs and monsoon intensity will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月8日のマニラの最高気温は?
29°C 48%
30℃ 28%
28°C 23%
26°C 7%
24°C以下
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
7%
27℃
4%
28°C
23%
29°C
48%
30℃
28%
31°C
6%
32℃
5%
33℃
1%
34℃以上
1%
29°C 48%
30℃ 28%
28°C 23%
26°C 7%
24°C以下
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
7%
27℃
4%
28°C
23%
29°C
48%
30℃
28%
31°C
6%
32℃
5%
33℃
1%
34℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, including widespread cloud cover, scattered rainshowers, and thunderstorms, are the main driver keeping Manila's daytime maxima moderate. PAGASA forecasts for August 8, 2026, indicate a 25–31°C range, consistent with long-term August averages near 30–31°C under high humidity and frequent precipitation that limits solar heating. Recent monitoring shows no heatwave signals or clear-sky periods that would push readings above 31°C, aligning trader consensus around 28–30°C as the most probable outcomes while assigning low odds to extremes. Updated model runs and monsoon intensity will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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