National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus currently favors a high-pressure ridge over north Texas with southerly flow and mostly clear skies on May 18, positioning Dallas afternoon highs in the upper 80s to low 90s. This setup supports strong daytime heating with limited cloud cover or frontal interference, keeping the 88-89°F outcome as the slim market leader at 35.5% implied probability while the closely trailing 86-87°F and 90-91°F bins reflect ongoing uncertainty in exact peak mixing and boundary-layer moisture. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs near 85°F, so any modest strengthening of the ridge or reduced wind could push readings into the 90s, whereas increased boundary-layer clouds would favor the mid-80s range. Updated short-range guidance expected later today will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月18日のダラスの最高気温は?
88~89°F 37%
86~87°F 28%
90〜91°F 26%
92°F以上 11%
$11,998 Vol.
$11,998 Vol.
華氏73度以下
<1%
74〜75°F
<1%
76〜77°F
<1%
78~79°F
<1%
80~81°F
<1%
82〜83°F
<1%
84〜85°F
2%
86~87°F
28%
88~89°F
37%
90〜91°F
26%
92°F以上
11%
88~89°F 37%
86~87°F 28%
90〜91°F 26%
92°F以上 11%
$11,998 Vol.
$11,998 Vol.
華氏73度以下
<1%
74〜75°F
<1%
76〜77°F
<1%
78~79°F
<1%
80~81°F
<1%
82〜83°F
<1%
84〜85°F
2%
86~87°F
28%
88~89°F
37%
90〜91°F
26%
92°F以上
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus currently favors a high-pressure ridge over north Texas with southerly flow and mostly clear skies on May 18, positioning Dallas afternoon highs in the upper 80s to low 90s. This setup supports strong daytime heating with limited cloud cover or frontal interference, keeping the 88-89°F outcome as the slim market leader at 35.5% implied probability while the closely trailing 86-87°F and 90-91°F bins reflect ongoing uncertainty in exact peak mixing and boundary-layer moisture. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs near 85°F, so any modest strengthening of the ridge or reduced wind could push readings into the 90s, whereas increased boundary-layer clouds would favor the mid-80s range. Updated short-range guidance expected later today will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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