The market has converged on a highest temperature of 76-77°F in Denver on May 16 because official National Weather Service observations recorded a daily maximum squarely in that range under stable high-pressure conditions and typical mid-May westerly flow along the Front Range. These verified readings eliminate model uncertainty and directly match the resolution criteria, leaving negligible room for outcomes above 78°F. Historical climatology for the period shows average highs near 72°F, so the modest above-normal warmth aligns with current seasonal baselines without triggering any record or anomaly flags. Only an unexpected late-day thermal spike or post-observation data revision could alter the result, but no such developments have appeared in monitoring agency reports.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Denver on May 16?
76-77°F 100.0%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$62,746 Vol.
$62,746 Vol.
76-77°F
100%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 100.0%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$62,746 Vol.
$62,746 Vol.
76-77°F
100%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
The market has converged on a highest temperature of 76-77°F in Denver on May 16 because official National Weather Service observations recorded a daily maximum squarely in that range under stable high-pressure conditions and typical mid-May westerly flow along the Front Range. These verified readings eliminate model uncertainty and directly match the resolution criteria, leaving negligible room for outcomes above 78°F. Historical climatology for the period shows average highs near 72°F, so the modest above-normal warmth aligns with current seasonal baselines without triggering any record or anomaly flags. Only an unexpected late-day thermal spike or post-observation data revision could alter the result, but no such developments have appeared in monitoring agency reports.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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