Current meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on August 13, 2026, from agencies including the Met Office indicate a maximum temperature of 27°C, driven by typical late-summer atmospheric conditions with moderate northerly winds, partial cloud cover, and moderating sea-breeze effects from the Bosphorus that limit peak heating. This aligns with long-term August climatology showing average highs near 28°C, and recent model consensus reinforces the outcome with minimal divergence. The 100% market-implied probability on 27°C reflects trader consensus on verified observational thresholds and short-range numerical weather prediction runs ahead of final station data. Scenarios that could shift resolution include unexpected convective development raising readings above the threshold or post-event measurement adjustments from official stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月13日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？
8月13日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？
27°C 100.0%
23°C以下 <1%
24℃ <1%
25℃ <1%
$38,252 Vol.
$38,252 Vol.
2026/08/13
23°C以下
いいえ
24℃
いいえ
25℃
いいえ
26℃
いいえ
27°C
はい
28℃
いいえ
29°C
いいえ
30℃
いいえ
31℃
いいえ
32℃
いいえ
33℃以上
いいえ
27°C 100.0%
23°C以下 <1%
24℃ <1%
25℃ <1%
$38,252 Vol.
$38,252 Vol.
2026/08/13
23°C以下
$447 Vol.
いいえ
24℃
$667 Vol.
いいえ
25℃
$1,147 Vol.
いいえ
26℃
$3,556 Vol.
いいえ
27°C
$14,284 Vol.
はい
28℃
$9,373 Vol.
いいえ
29°C
$3,501 Vol.
いいえ
30℃
$2,932 Vol.
いいえ
31℃
$805 Vol.
いいえ
32℃
$1,274 Vol.
いいえ
33℃以上
$267 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on August 13, 2026, from agencies including the Met Office indicate a maximum temperature of 27°C, driven by typical late-summer atmospheric conditions with moderate northerly winds, partial cloud cover, and moderating sea-breeze effects from the Bosphorus that limit peak heating. This aligns with long-term August climatology showing average highs near 28°C, and recent model consensus reinforces the outcome with minimal divergence. The 100% market-implied probability on 27°C reflects trader consensus on verified observational thresholds and short-range numerical weather prediction runs ahead of final station data. Scenarios that could shift resolution include unexpected convective development raising readings above the threshold or post-event measurement adjustments from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
音量
$38,252終了日
2026/08/13マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on August 13, 2026, from agencies including the Met Office indicate a maximum temperature of 27°C, driven by typical late-summer atmospheric conditions with moderate northerly winds, partial cloud cover, and moderating sea-breeze effects from the Bosphorus that limit peak heating. This aligns with long-term August climatology showing average highs near 28°C, and recent model consensus reinforces the outcome with minimal divergence. The 100% market-implied probability on 27°C reflects trader consensus on verified observational thresholds and short-range numerical weather prediction runs ahead of final station data. Scenarios that could shift resolution include unexpected convective development raising readings above the threshold or post-event measurement adjustments from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$38,252終了日
2026/08/13マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Current meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on August 13, 2026, from agencies including the Met Office indicate a maximum temperature of 27°C, driven by typical late-summer atmospheric conditions with moderate northerly winds, partial cloud cover, and moderating sea-breeze effects from the Bosphorus that limit peak heating. This aligns with long-term August climatology showing average highs near 28°C, and recent model consensus reinforces the outcome with minimal divergence. The 100% market-implied probability on 27°C reflects trader consensus on verified observational thresholds and short-range numerical weather prediction runs ahead of final station data. Scenarios that could shift resolution include unexpected convective development raising readings above the threshold or post-event measurement adjustments from official stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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