Recent forecasts from sources including the India Meteorological Department and international models point to partly cloudy conditions over Lucknow on September 22 with isolated thunderstorms possible, supporting maximum temperatures near 34°C. This aligns with the market's leading 57.5% implied probability for that threshold, as monsoon withdrawal patterns typically yield daily highs of 33–34°C in late September amid high humidity and light winds. Recent observations show maxima of 34–35°C through September 20, with clearing skies after localized rain on the 19th. Limited convective activity and model consensus on modest cloud cover reduce the chance of extremes above 35°C or below 33°C, though updated runs from the National Weather Service equivalents could shift probabilities if steering patterns change.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月22日のラクナウの最高気温は?
34℃ 57%
33°C 25%
35°C 14%
32°C 3%
28°C以下
<1%
29℃
<1%
30°C
2%
31℃
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
25%
34℃
57%
35°C
14%
36℃
3%
37℃
1%
38℃以上
<1%
34℃ 57%
33°C 25%
35°C 14%
32°C 3%
28°C以下
<1%
29℃
<1%
30°C
2%
31℃
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
25%
34℃
57%
35°C
14%
36℃
3%
37℃
1%
38℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from sources including the India Meteorological Department and international models point to partly cloudy conditions over Lucknow on September 22 with isolated thunderstorms possible, supporting maximum temperatures near 34°C. This aligns with the market's leading 57.5% implied probability for that threshold, as monsoon withdrawal patterns typically yield daily highs of 33–34°C in late September amid high humidity and light winds. Recent observations show maxima of 34–35°C through September 20, with clearing skies after localized rain on the 19th. Limited convective activity and model consensus on modest cloud cover reduce the chance of extremes above 35°C or below 33°C, though updated runs from the National Weather Service equivalents could shift probabilities if steering patterns change.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問