**Persistent monsoon-driven rainfall and extensive cloud cover are the dominant factors capping maximum temperatures in Lucknow around 30–32°C for September 4.** Official IMD forecasts for the city project a generally cloudy sky with one or two spells of rain or thundershowers, with a maximum of 32°C, while multiple international models (including WeatherBug and The Weather Network) cluster daily highs near 30–31°C (86–88°F). Recent heavy rainfall—59 mm recorded in Lucknow on September 1–2, with widespread thundershowers across Uttar Pradesh—has increased soil moisture and humidity while reducing incoming solar radiation, keeping recent maxima 2–3°C below normal. This pattern aligns with late-monsoon conditions where convective activity and easterly winds sustain overcast skies, suppressing daytime heating. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds (48% at 31°C, 26.5% at 30°C) therefore centers on modest suppression from ongoing precipitation rather than a full monsoon break that could allow temperatures to reach the seasonal 33–34°C average. Key near-term catalysts include the next IMD forecast updates and any shifts in model consensus on rain coverage or intensity through September 3–4.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月4日のラクナウの最高気温は？
9月4日のラクナウの最高気温は？
31°C 48%
30℃ 27%
32℃ 14%
29℃ 6%
新規
新規
2026/09/04
25℃以下
1%
26℃
1%
27℃
3%
28℃
2%
29℃
6%
30℃
27%
31°C
48%
32℃
14%
33°C
6%
34℃
3%
35℃以上
3%
31°C 48%
30℃ 27%
32℃ 14%
29℃ 6%
新規
新規
2026/09/04
25℃以下
$80 Vol.
1%
26℃
$80 Vol.
1%
27℃
$0 Vol.
3%
28℃
$72 Vol.
2%
29℃
$106 Vol.
6%
30℃
$35 Vol.
27%
31°C
$68 Vol.
48%
32℃
$161 Vol.
14%
33°C
$0 Vol.
6%
34℃
$3 Vol.
3%
35℃以上
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent monsoon-driven rainfall and extensive cloud cover are the dominant factors capping maximum temperatures in Lucknow around 30–32°C for September 4.** Official IMD forecasts for the city project a generally cloudy sky with one or two spells of rain or thundershowers, with a maximum of 32°C, while multiple international models (including WeatherBug and The Weather Network) cluster daily highs near 30–31°C (86–88°F).
Recent heavy rainfall—59 mm recorded in Lucknow on September 1–2, with widespread thundershowers across Uttar Pradesh—has increased soil moisture and humidity while reducing incoming solar radiation, keeping recent maxima 2–3°C below normal. This pattern aligns with late-monsoon conditions where convective activity and easterly winds sustain overcast skies, suppressing daytime heating.
Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds (48% at 31°C, 26.5% at 30°C) therefore centers on modest suppression from ongoing precipitation rather than a full monsoon break that could allow temperatures to reach the seasonal 33–34°C average. Key near-term catalysts include the next IMD forecast updates and any shifts in model consensus on rain coverage or intensity through September 3–4.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$605終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent monsoon-driven rainfall and extensive cloud cover are the dominant factors capping maximum temperatures in Lucknow around 30–32°C for September 4.** Official IMD forecasts for the city project a generally cloudy sky with one or two spells of rain or thundershowers, with a maximum of 32°C, while multiple international models (including WeatherBug and The Weather Network) cluster daily highs near 30–31°C (86–88°F).
Recent heavy rainfall—59 mm recorded in Lucknow on September 1–2, with widespread thundershowers across Uttar Pradesh—has increased soil moisture and humidity while reducing incoming solar radiation, keeping recent maxima 2–3°C below normal. This pattern aligns with late-monsoon conditions where convective activity and easterly winds sustain overcast skies, suppressing daytime heating.
Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds (48% at 31°C, 26.5% at 30°C) therefore centers on modest suppression from ongoing precipitation rather than a full monsoon break that could allow temperatures to reach the seasonal 33–34°C average. Key near-term catalysts include the next IMD forecast updates and any shifts in model consensus on rain coverage or intensity through September 3–4.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$605終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Persistent monsoon-driven rainfall and extensive cloud cover are the dominant factors capping maximum temperatures in Lucknow around 30–32°C for September 4.** Official IMD forecasts for the city project a generally cloudy sky with one or two spells of rain or thundershowers, with a maximum of 32°C, while multiple international models (including WeatherBug and The Weather Network) cluster daily highs near 30–31°C (86–88°F). Recent heavy rainfall—59 mm recorded in Lucknow on September 1–2, with widespread thundershowers across Uttar Pradesh—has increased soil moisture and humidity while reducing incoming solar radiation, keeping recent maxima 2–3°C below normal. This pattern aligns with late-monsoon conditions where convective activity and easterly winds sustain overcast skies, suppressing daytime heating. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds (48% at 31°C, 26.5% at 30°C) therefore centers on modest suppression from ongoing precipitation rather than a full monsoon break that could allow temperatures to reach the seasonal 33–34°C average. Key near-term catalysts include the next IMD forecast updates and any shifts in model consensus on rain coverage or intensity through September 3–4.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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