Official AEMET measurements and station data from Madrid confirm a daily maximum of 40°C on August 13, 2026, driven by persistent high-pressure systems and northerly advection of warm air masses under clear skies that suppressed cloud cover and enhanced solar heating. This aligns with broader 2026 summer patterns, including elevated baseline temperatures from prior heat episodes and model consensus on surface energy budgets favoring peaks at or above this threshold. Trader consensus at 100% reflects the strength of verified observations over forecasts. Potential challenges include post-event data revisions from the primary reporting station or reclassification of the exact peak reading, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary values are validated.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月13日のマドリードの最高気温は?
40°C 100.0%
35°C or below <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$83,343 Vol.
$83,343 Vol.
35°C or below
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
Yes
41°C
No
42°C
いいえ
43°C
いいえ
44℃
いいえ
45℃以上
いいえ
40°C 100.0%
35°C or below <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$83,343 Vol.
$83,343 Vol.
35°C or below
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
Yes
41°C
No
42°C
いいえ
43°C
いいえ
44℃
いいえ
45℃以上
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
Official AEMET measurements and station data from Madrid confirm a daily maximum of 40°C on August 13, 2026, driven by persistent high-pressure systems and northerly advection of warm air masses under clear skies that suppressed cloud cover and enhanced solar heating. This aligns with broader 2026 summer patterns, including elevated baseline temperatures from prior heat episodes and model consensus on surface energy budgets favoring peaks at or above this threshold. Trader consensus at 100% reflects the strength of verified observations over forecasts. Potential challenges include post-event data revisions from the primary reporting station or reclassification of the exact peak reading, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary values are validated.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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