National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to partly cloudy skies over Miami today, with daytime highs likely settling in the upper 80s under light easterly flow and typical May humidity levels. This positions the 86–87 °F bracket as the market leader at 46% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 88–89 °F at 36.5%, reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon convection and sea-breeze timing. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 85 °F at Miami International Airport, so current guidance aligns closely with seasonal norms while allowing limited upside if reduced cloud cover or lighter winds permit greater surface heating. Traders closely monitor updated model runs for any shifts in maximum temperature or precipitation chances that could tip resolution between these adjacent bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日のマイアミの最高気温は?
86~87°F 46%
88~89°F 37%
84~85°F 13%
90〜91°F 6.3%
$27,889 Vol.
$27,889 Vol.
75°F以下
<1%
76〜77°F
<1%
78〜79°F
<1%
80~81°F
<1%
82〜83°F
3%
84~85°F
13%
86~87°F
46%
88~89°F
37%
90〜91°F
6%
92~93°F
1%
94°F以上
1%
86~87°F 46%
88~89°F 37%
84~85°F 13%
90〜91°F 6.3%
$27,889 Vol.
$27,889 Vol.
75°F以下
<1%
76〜77°F
<1%
78〜79°F
<1%
80~81°F
<1%
82〜83°F
3%
84~85°F
13%
86~87°F
46%
88~89°F
37%
90〜91°F
6%
92~93°F
1%
94°F以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to partly cloudy skies over Miami today, with daytime highs likely settling in the upper 80s under light easterly flow and typical May humidity levels. This positions the 86–87 °F bracket as the market leader at 46% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 88–89 °F at 36.5%, reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon convection and sea-breeze timing. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 85 °F at Miami International Airport, so current guidance aligns closely with seasonal norms while allowing limited upside if reduced cloud cover or lighter winds permit greater surface heating. Traders closely monitor updated model runs for any shifts in maximum temperature or precipitation chances that could tip resolution between these adjacent bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問