Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus position a daytime high of 86–87°F as the most probable outcome for Miami on May 18, supported by early-season subtropical ridging and light southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary. These conditions favor modest warming without strong advection or convective cooling, aligning with historical May averages near 85°F at Miami International Airport. Traders have priced in a modest chance of 88–89°F if ridging strengthens slightly, while lower bins reflect limited downside risk from any overnight marine influence. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final guidance ahead of resolution, with typical forecast uncertainty of ±2°F in subtropical spring regimes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月18日のマイアミの最高気温は?
86~87°F 45%
88~89°F 32%
84~85°F 15%
90~91°F 6%
$17,016 Vol.
$17,016 Vol.
77°F以下
<1%
78~79°F
<1%
80〜81°F
<1%
82〜83°F
3%
84~85°F
15%
86~87°F
45%
88~89°F
32%
90~91°F
6%
92〜93°F
1%
94~95°F
1%
96°F以上
<1%
86~87°F 45%
88~89°F 32%
84~85°F 15%
90~91°F 6%
$17,016 Vol.
$17,016 Vol.
77°F以下
<1%
78~79°F
<1%
80〜81°F
<1%
82〜83°F
3%
84~85°F
15%
86~87°F
45%
88~89°F
32%
90~91°F
6%
92〜93°F
1%
94~95°F
1%
96°F以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus position a daytime high of 86–87°F as the most probable outcome for Miami on May 18, supported by early-season subtropical ridging and light southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary. These conditions favor modest warming without strong advection or convective cooling, aligning with historical May averages near 85°F at Miami International Airport. Traders have priced in a modest chance of 88–89°F if ridging strengthens slightly, while lower bins reflect limited downside risk from any overnight marine influence. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final guidance ahead of resolution, with typical forecast uncertainty of ±2°F in subtropical spring regimes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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