Official China Meteorological Administration observations from Qingdao stations confirm the daily high reached exactly 22°C this afternoon amid fine weather and moderating sea breezes, driving trader consensus to a near-100% implied probability for this outcome as sunlight fades and temperatures drop. Mid-May climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 19–23°C under similar partly cloudy conditions, and recent hourly data showing no exceedance despite brief peaks. Model forecasts from CMA aligned closely, emphasizing low intensification potential from coastal influences. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-evening data revision or outlier station reading above 22°C before midnight local time, when final summaries solidify resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 15?
22°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$24,825 Vol.
$24,825 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$24,825 Vol.
$24,825 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 13, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
Official China Meteorological Administration observations from Qingdao stations confirm the daily high reached exactly 22°C this afternoon amid fine weather and moderating sea breezes, driving trader consensus to a near-100% implied probability for this outcome as sunlight fades and temperatures drop. Mid-May climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 19–23°C under similar partly cloudy conditions, and recent hourly data showing no exceedance despite brief peaks. Model forecasts from CMA aligned closely, emphasizing low intensification potential from coastal influences. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-evening data revision or outlier station reading above 22°C before midnight local time, when final summaries solidify resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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