Recent National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations position San Francisco’s May 17 daytime maximum near the 68°F climatological normal at San Francisco International Airport, establishing the 68°F-or-higher outcome as the clear market leader. Persistent marine-layer influence and moderate onshore flow have kept temperatures from exceeding seasonal averages, while short-range model consensus shows no significant warming or cooling signals through the afternoon. This alignment with May baseline conditions, absent any anomalous heat advection or strong ridging, supports the current implied probability distribution and leaves limited room for downward revision unless a late-day fog bank develops. Final resolution will depend on the official airport maximum reported by the National Weather Service.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は?
68°F or higher 84%
66-67°F 17%
64-65°F 1.9%
49°F or below <1%
$21,285 Vol.
$21,285 Vol.
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
17%
68°F or higher
84%
68°F or higher 84%
66-67°F 17%
64-65°F 1.9%
49°F or below <1%
$21,285 Vol.
$21,285 Vol.
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
17%
68°F or higher
84%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations position San Francisco’s May 17 daytime maximum near the 68°F climatological normal at San Francisco International Airport, establishing the 68°F-or-higher outcome as the clear market leader. Persistent marine-layer influence and moderate onshore flow have kept temperatures from exceeding seasonal averages, while short-range model consensus shows no significant warming or cooling signals through the afternoon. This alignment with May baseline conditions, absent any anomalous heat advection or strong ridging, supports the current implied probability distribution and leaves limited room for downward revision unless a late-day fog bank develops. Final resolution will depend on the official airport maximum reported by the National Weather Service.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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