Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles project Seoul’s daytime maximum on May 18 to reach or exceed 25 °C, supported by a strengthening high-pressure ridge and southerly flow that favors warmer advection across the Korean Peninsula. This aligns with mid-May climatology, when average highs hover near 22 °C yet frequently surpass 25 °C during stable spring patterns. Model consensus shows limited spread in the upper range, giving traders high confidence in the warmest bin while still assigning modest probability to 24 °C if a brief cooling front arrives overnight. Official observations from the Seoul synoptic station will determine final resolution once the 24-hour period closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月18日のソウルの最高気温は?
25°C or higher 82%
24°C 17%
23°C 4.0%
22°C 1.0%
$78,781 Vol.
$78,781 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
17%
25°C or higher
82%
25°C or higher 82%
24°C 17%
23°C 4.0%
22°C 1.0%
$78,781 Vol.
$78,781 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
17%
25°C or higher
82%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles project Seoul’s daytime maximum on May 18 to reach or exceed 25 °C, supported by a strengthening high-pressure ridge and southerly flow that favors warmer advection across the Korean Peninsula. This aligns with mid-May climatology, when average highs hover near 22 °C yet frequently surpass 25 °C during stable spring patterns. Model consensus shows limited spread in the upper range, giving traders high confidence in the warmest bin while still assigning modest probability to 24 °C if a brief cooling front arrives overnight. Official observations from the Seoul synoptic station will determine final resolution once the 24-hour period closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問