Official forecasts from Singapore’s Meteorological Service and National Environment Agency point to inter-monsoon conditions on May 18 with light variable winds and scattered afternoon thundery showers that suppress surface heating, anchoring the daily maximum near 32°C. Regional model consensus and climatological May baselines of 31–33°C reinforce this range, while the risk of brief clearer intervals or stronger insolation could push readings to 33°C. These atmospheric dynamics explain why traders assign the highest implied probability to 32°C, followed closely by 31°C and 33°C, with lower odds on extremes reflecting the stabilizing effect of typical seasonal moisture and limited solar exposure.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月18日のシンガポールの最高気温は?
32°C 41%
31°C 24%
33°C 21%
34°C or higher 8.0%
$16,168 Vol.
$16,168 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
24%
32°C
41%
33°C
21%
34°C or higher
8%
32°C 41%
31°C 24%
33°C 21%
34°C or higher 8.0%
$16,168 Vol.
$16,168 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
24%
32°C
41%
33°C
21%
34°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Official forecasts from Singapore’s Meteorological Service and National Environment Agency point to inter-monsoon conditions on May 18 with light variable winds and scattered afternoon thundery showers that suppress surface heating, anchoring the daily maximum near 32°C. Regional model consensus and climatological May baselines of 31–33°C reinforce this range, while the risk of brief clearer intervals or stronger insolation could push readings to 33°C. These atmospheric dynamics explain why traders assign the highest implied probability to 32°C, followed closely by 31°C and 33°C, with lower odds on extremes reflecting the stabilizing effect of typical seasonal moisture and limited solar exposure.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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