Recent meteorological forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and supporting global models show Taipei on track for a daily maximum of 31°C on May 17, driving the overwhelming market consensus on that outcome. Stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and typical May solar heating have produced steady warming, with ensemble runs indicating little chance of significant cooling from clouds or rain. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when afternoon highs commonly reach 29–32°C. While the current data strongly support 31°C as the peak, a sudden increase in convective activity or earlier sea-breeze onset could cap the temperature one degree lower and introduce limited uncertainty into the final recorded value.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日の台北の最高気温は?
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$111,732 Vol.
$111,732 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$111,732 Vol.
$111,732 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent meteorological forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and supporting global models show Taipei on track for a daily maximum of 31°C on May 17, driving the overwhelming market consensus on that outcome. Stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and typical May solar heating have produced steady warming, with ensemble runs indicating little chance of significant cooling from clouds or rain. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when afternoon highs commonly reach 29–32°C. While the current data strongly support 31°C as the peak, a sudden increase in convective activity or earlier sea-breeze onset could cap the temperature one degree lower and introduce limited uncertainty into the final recorded value.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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