Traders have overwhelmingly priced in a daily high of 14°C for Wellington today because short-range forecast models from New Zealand’s MetService and international guidance show stable southerly airflow keeping daytime maxima locked near that level. Current surface observations and ensemble runs indicate minimal cloud-cover variability and no incoming frontal systems capable of driving meaningful temperature departures. This near-certainty reflects both the day’s advanced stage and tight agreement across observational networks, consistent with typical mid-May climatology for the capital. Only an unforecasted warm advection event or instrument calibration shift could realistically alter the outcome before final readings are recorded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日のウェリントンの最高気温は?
14℃ 99.7%
15°C <1%
8℃以下 <1%
9°C <1%
$53,850 Vol.
$53,850 Vol.
8℃以下
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12℃
<1%
13°C
<1%
14℃
100%
15°C
<1%
16℃
<1%
17°C
<1%
18℃以上
<1%
14℃ 99.7%
15°C <1%
8℃以下 <1%
9°C <1%
$53,850 Vol.
$53,850 Vol.
8℃以下
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12℃
<1%
13°C
<1%
14℃
100%
15°C
<1%
16℃
<1%
17°C
<1%
18℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Traders have overwhelmingly priced in a daily high of 14°C for Wellington today because short-range forecast models from New Zealand’s MetService and international guidance show stable southerly airflow keeping daytime maxima locked near that level. Current surface observations and ensemble runs indicate minimal cloud-cover variability and no incoming frontal systems capable of driving meaningful temperature departures. This near-certainty reflects both the day’s advanced stage and tight agreement across observational networks, consistent with typical mid-May climatology for the capital. Only an unforecasted warm advection event or instrument calibration shift could realistically alter the outcome before final readings are recorded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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