The dominant market consensus on a 14°C high for Wellington reflects the latest MetService New Zealand forecast, which projects an afternoon maximum centered on 14°C under moderate southerly flow, partial cloud cover, and typical mid-autumn conditions across the Cook Strait region. This aligns closely with the city’s May climatology, where daily highs average 13–15°C with limited day-to-day variability once short-range models converge. Ensemble runs from both local and global numerical weather prediction systems show tight agreement on this peak, limiting upside or downside surprises. A late northerly wind shift or unexpected clearing could briefly push readings to 15°C, yet current observational trends and model consensus make such deviations unlikely before the Wellington Airport station records the final maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日のウェリントンの最高気温は?
14℃ 99.7%
15°C <1%
8℃以下 <1%
9°C <1%
$53,840 Vol.
$53,840 Vol.
8℃以下
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12℃
<1%
13°C
<1%
14℃
100%
15°C
<1%
16℃
<1%
17°C
<1%
18℃以上
<1%
14℃ 99.7%
15°C <1%
8℃以下 <1%
9°C <1%
$53,840 Vol.
$53,840 Vol.
8℃以下
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12℃
<1%
13°C
<1%
14℃
100%
15°C
<1%
16℃
<1%
17°C
<1%
18℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The dominant market consensus on a 14°C high for Wellington reflects the latest MetService New Zealand forecast, which projects an afternoon maximum centered on 14°C under moderate southerly flow, partial cloud cover, and typical mid-autumn conditions across the Cook Strait region. This aligns closely with the city’s May climatology, where daily highs average 13–15°C with limited day-to-day variability once short-range models converge. Ensemble runs from both local and global numerical weather prediction systems show tight agreement on this peak, limiting upside or downside surprises. A late northerly wind shift or unexpected clearing could briefly push readings to 15°C, yet current observational trends and model consensus make such deviations unlikely before the Wellington Airport station records the final maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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