Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate Zhengzhou will experience sunny skies and light northeasterly flow on August 31, supporting daytime heating to the upper 20s or low 30s Celsius after recent cooling. Official guidance from monitoring agencies shows highs near 31–34 °C, placing the market-implied 50.5 % probability on 32 °C or higher in line with the strongest ensemble members while the 25 % odds on 29–31 °C reflect remaining spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed. Persistent clear conditions following earlier August peaks above 34 °C and the absence of significant cloud cover or precipitation risk in the next 24–48 hours have anchored trader consensus around these thresholds ahead of final observational confirmation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日の鄭州の最高気温は?
32°C or higher 50%
31°C 49%
30°C 19%
27°C 4%
22°C or below
3%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
3%
26°C
3%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
19%
31°C
49%
32°C or higher
50%
32°C or higher 50%
31°C 49%
30°C 19%
27°C 4%
22°C or below
3%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
3%
26°C
3%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
19%
31°C
49%
32°C or higher
50%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate Zhengzhou will experience sunny skies and light northeasterly flow on August 31, supporting daytime heating to the upper 20s or low 30s Celsius after recent cooling. Official guidance from monitoring agencies shows highs near 31–34 °C, placing the market-implied 50.5 % probability on 32 °C or higher in line with the strongest ensemble members while the 25 % odds on 29–31 °C reflect remaining spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed. Persistent clear conditions following earlier August peaks above 34 °C and the absence of significant cloud cover or precipitation risk in the next 24–48 hours have anchored trader consensus around these thresholds ahead of final observational confirmation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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