**Forecast consensus for Zhengzhou on September 2 centers on a 29–30°C daily maximum under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h.** Multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, show stable high pressure maintaining dry conditions with minimal cloud cover, allowing typical late-summer diurnal heating while preventing stronger warming. Light winds limit mixing and advection, keeping the peak temperature tightly clustered near the climatological September average of roughly 29–31°C. Slight model spread arises from differences in boundary-layer parameterization and exact timing of peak insolation, producing the narrow probability distribution around 29–31°C that traders are pricing. No incoming fronts or moisture are expected to alter the outcome before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月2日の鄭州の最高気温は?
30°C 49%
29°C 27%
28°C 11%
26°C 9%
22°C or below
6%
23°C
6%
24°C
6%
25°C
6%
26°C
9%
27°C
9%
28°C
11%
29°C
27%
30°C
27%
31°C
26%
32°C or higher
22%
30°C 49%
29°C 27%
28°C 11%
26°C 9%
22°C or below
6%
23°C
6%
24°C
6%
25°C
6%
26°C
9%
27°C
9%
28°C
11%
29°C
27%
30°C
27%
31°C
26%
32°C or higher
22%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecast consensus for Zhengzhou on September 2 centers on a 29–30°C daily maximum under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h.** Multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, show stable high pressure maintaining dry conditions with minimal cloud cover, allowing typical late-summer diurnal heating while preventing stronger warming. Light winds limit mixing and advection, keeping the peak temperature tightly clustered near the climatological September average of roughly 29–31°C. Slight model spread arises from differences in boundary-layer parameterization and exact timing of peak insolation, producing the narrow probability distribution around 29–31°C that traders are pricing. No incoming fronts or moisture are expected to alter the outcome before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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