Seven Republican senators have announced they will not seek re-election in 2026, establishing the leading market outcome at seven. Key drivers include the advanced ages and lengthy tenures of figures such as Mitch McConnell and Steve Daines, alongside decisions by Joni Ernst, Thom Tillis, Cynthia Lummis, and Tommy Tuberville to pursue other offices or step back amid shifting party dynamics and primary pressures. This total reflects the highest number of Republican Senate retirements in a single cycle to date, consistent with broader congressional turnover patterns. Additional announcements before the November election or shifts in candidate intentions could still alter the final count, though current filings and public statements point to stability around this level.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7 64%
11 20.4%
8 14.6%
6 10.1%
$73,769 Vol.
$73,769 Vol.
2026/08/31
5未満
1%
5
4%
6
10%
7
64%
8
17%
9
4%
10
2%
11
20%
12人以上
1%
7 64%
11 20.4%
8 14.6%
6 10.1%
$73,769 Vol.
$73,769 Vol.
2026/08/31
5未満
$20,070 Vol.
1%
5
$15,535 Vol.
4%
6
$26,450 Vol.
10%
7
$2,145 Vol.
64%
8
$1,599 Vol.
17%
9
$1,328 Vol.
4%
10
$1,303 Vol.
2%
11
$923 Vol.
20%
12人以上
$4,416 Vol.
1%
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. Senate who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the Senate may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Seven Republican senators have announced they will not seek re-election in 2026, establishing the leading market outcome at seven. Key drivers include the advanced ages and lengthy tenures of figures such as Mitch McConnell and Steve Daines, alongside decisions by Joni Ernst, Thom Tillis, Cynthia Lummis, and Tommy Tuberville to pursue other offices or step back amid shifting party dynamics and primary pressures. This total reflects the highest number of Republican Senate retirements in a single cycle to date, consistent with broader congressional turnover patterns. Additional announcements before the November election or shifts in candidate intentions could still alter the final count, though current filings and public statements point to stability around this level.
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. Senate who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the Senate may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. Senate who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the Senate may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Dec 12, 2025, 6:43 PM ET
音量
$73,769終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Dec 12, 2025, 6:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. Senate who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the Senate may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Seven Republican senators have announced they will not seek re-election in 2026, establishing the leading market outcome at seven. Key drivers include the advanced ages and lengthy tenures of figures such as Mitch McConnell and Steve Daines, alongside decisions by Joni Ernst, Thom Tillis, Cynthia Lummis, and Tommy Tuberville to pursue other offices or step back amid shifting party dynamics and primary pressures. This total reflects the highest number of Republican Senate retirements in a single cycle to date, consistent with broader congressional turnover patterns. Additional announcements before the November election or shifts in candidate intentions could still alter the final count, though current filings and public statements point to stability around this level.
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. Senate who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the Senate may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. Senate who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the Senate may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$73,769終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Dec 12, 2025, 6:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Seven Republican senators have announced they will not seek re-election in 2026, establishing the leading market outcome at seven. Key drivers include the advanced ages and lengthy tenures of figures such as Mitch McConnell and Steve Daines, alongside decisions by Joni Ernst, Thom Tillis, Cynthia Lummis, and Tommy Tuberville to pursue other offices or step back amid shifting party dynamics and primary pressures. This total reflects the highest number of Republican Senate retirements in a single cycle to date, consistent with broader congressional turnover patterns. Additional announcements before the November election or shifts in candidate intentions could still alter the final count, though current filings and public statements point to stability around this level.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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