Hu Jintao, the 83-year-old former Chinese Communist Party general secretary and president, has recorded no confirmed public appearances since his final verified outing at Jiang Zemin’s December 2022 funeral procession. Recent developments have reinforced trader expectations of continued absence through the December 31, 2026 resolution date. He was notably missing from state media footage of the August 17, 2026 commemoration of Jiang’s 100th birthday, an event attended by other retired leaders, while reports in mid-August described a sharp health decline. Similar patterns held for 2025–2026 ceremonies, where Hu was listed only as sending wreaths rather than attending. With limited time remaining and sustained official silence on any scheduled visibility, the 94.3% No consensus reflects structural factors including advanced age, frailty, and the low probability of a late political-stage appearance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
はい
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hu Jintao, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
マーケット開始日: Aug 13, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x65070BE91...For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hu Jintao, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
リゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Hu Jintao, the 83-year-old former Chinese Communist Party general secretary and president, has recorded no confirmed public appearances since his final verified outing at Jiang Zemin’s December 2022 funeral procession. Recent developments have reinforced trader expectations of continued absence through the December 31, 2026 resolution date. He was notably missing from state media footage of the August 17, 2026 commemoration of Jiang’s 100th birthday, an event attended by other retired leaders, while reports in mid-August described a sharp health decline. Similar patterns held for 2025–2026 ceremonies, where Hu was listed only as sending wreaths rather than attending. With limited time remaining and sustained official silence on any scheduled visibility, the 94.3% No consensus reflects structural factors including advanced age, frailty, and the low probability of a late political-stage appearance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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