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icon for 胡錦濤公演は12月31日まで?

胡錦濤公演は12月31日まで?

icon for 胡錦濤公演は12月31日まで?

胡錦濤公演は12月31日まで?

はい

6% 確率
Polymarket
新規

はい

6% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former President of the People's Republic of China, Hu Jintao, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (Beijing Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hu Jintao, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Hu Jintao, the 83-year-old former Chinese Communist Party general secretary and president, has recorded no confirmed public appearances since his final verified outing at Jiang Zemin’s December 2022 funeral procession. Recent developments have reinforced trader expectations of continued absence through the December 31, 2026 resolution date. He was notably missing from state media footage of the August 17, 2026 commemoration of Jiang’s 100th birthday, an event attended by other retired leaders, while reports in mid-August described a sharp health decline. Similar patterns held for 2025–2026 ceremonies, where Hu was listed only as sending wreaths rather than attending. With limited time remaining and sustained official silence on any scheduled visibility, the 94.3% No consensus reflects structural factors including advanced age, frailty, and the low probability of a late political-stage appearance.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former President of the People's Republic of China, Hu Jintao, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (Beijing Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hu Jintao, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
音量
$4,923
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 1:21 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former President of the People's Republic of China, Hu Jintao, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (Beijing Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hu Jintao, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former President of the People's Republic of China, Hu Jintao, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (Beijing Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hu Jintao, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Hu Jintao, the 83-year-old former Chinese Communist Party general secretary and president, has recorded no confirmed public appearances since his final verified outing at Jiang Zemin’s December 2022 funeral procession. Recent developments have reinforced trader expectations of continued absence through the December 31, 2026 resolution date. He was notably missing from state media footage of the August 17, 2026 commemoration of Jiang’s 100th birthday, an event attended by other retired leaders, while reports in mid-August described a sharp health decline. Similar patterns held for 2025–2026 ceremonies, where Hu was listed only as sending wreaths rather than attending. With limited time remaining and sustained official silence on any scheduled visibility, the 94.3% No consensus reflects structural factors including advanced age, frailty, and the low probability of a late political-stage appearance.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former President of the People's Republic of China, Hu Jintao, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (Beijing Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hu Jintao, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
音量
$4,923
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 1:21 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former President of the People's Republic of China, Hu Jintao, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (Beijing Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hu Jintao, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.

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よくある質問

「胡錦濤公演は12月31日まで?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「胡錦濤が12月31日までに公開の場に現れるか?」で6%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、6¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に6%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「胡錦濤公演は12月31日まで?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Aug 13, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「胡錦濤公演は12月31日まで?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「胡錦濤公演は12月31日まで?」の現在のリーダーは「胡錦濤が12月31日までに公開の場に現れるか?」でわずか6%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「胡錦濤公演は12月31日まで?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。