Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election place The Democrats, the left-leaning party led by Yair Golan, at roughly eight to ten seats in fragmented surveys from outlets including i24NEWS, Channel 14, and Maariv. This range aligns closely with the market's central vote-share brackets, reflecting uncertainty over final turnout, opposition bloc coordination with parties like Yashar and B'Yachad, and any late shifts in voter preferences among centrist or Arab lists. The party's July 2026 primaries drew high participation after its formation from Labor and Meretz elements, yet ongoing deadlock between pro- and anti-Netanyahu blocs has kept seat projections volatile without clear separation in the past week.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9％以上 39%
6%未満 35%
6～7% 35%
8〜9％ 34%
新規
新規
2026/11/30
6%未満
35%
6～7%
35%
7～8%
32%
8〜9％
34%
9％以上
39%
9％以上 39%
6%未満 35%
6～7% 35%
8〜9％ 34%
新規
新規
2026/11/30
6%未満
$0 Vol.
35%
6～7%
$0 Vol.
35%
7～8%
$0 Vol.
32%
8〜9％
$0 Vol.
34%
9％以上
$0 Vol.
39%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Democrats party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Democrats's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Democrats passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election place The Democrats, the left-leaning party led by Yair Golan, at roughly eight to ten seats in fragmented surveys from outlets including i24NEWS, Channel 14, and Maariv. This range aligns closely with the market's central vote-share brackets, reflecting uncertainty over final turnout, opposition bloc coordination with parties like Yashar and B'Yachad, and any late shifts in voter preferences among centrist or Arab lists. The party's July 2026 primaries drew high participation after its formation from Labor and Meretz elements, yet ongoing deadlock between pro- and anti-Netanyahu blocs has kept seat projections volatile without clear separation in the past week.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Democrats party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Democrats's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Democrats passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Democrats party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Democrats's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Democrats passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
マーケット開始日： Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/27マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ETLegislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Democrats party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Democrats's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Democrats passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election place The Democrats, the left-leaning party led by Yair Golan, at roughly eight to ten seats in fragmented surveys from outlets including i24NEWS, Channel 14, and Maariv. This range aligns closely with the market's central vote-share brackets, reflecting uncertainty over final turnout, opposition bloc coordination with parties like Yashar and B'Yachad, and any late shifts in voter preferences among centrist or Arab lists. The party's July 2026 primaries drew high participation after its formation from Labor and Meretz elements, yet ongoing deadlock between pro- and anti-Netanyahu blocs has kept seat projections volatile without clear separation in the past week.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Democrats party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Democrats's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Democrats passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Democrats party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Democrats's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Democrats passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/27マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ETRecent polls ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election place The Democrats, the left-leaning party led by Yair Golan, at roughly eight to ten seats in fragmented surveys from outlets including i24NEWS, Channel 14, and Maariv. This range aligns closely with the market's central vote-share brackets, reflecting uncertainty over final turnout, opposition bloc coordination with parties like Yashar and B'Yachad, and any late shifts in voter preferences among centrist or Arab lists. The party's July 2026 primaries drew high participation after its formation from Labor and Meretz elements, yet ongoing deadlock between pro- and anti-Netanyahu blocs has kept seat projections volatile without clear separation in the past week.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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