The open KY-06 seat, vacated after longtime Republican incumbent Andy Barr retired to pursue the U.S. Senate nomination, favors the GOP nominee Ralph Alvarado in a district with an R+7 partisan lean. Recent May 2026 primaries produced Alvarado and Democrat Zach Dembo as the general election matchups, with some internal Democratic surveys showing a competitive race around 42-39 or tied. However, the district's historical voting patterns, suburban and rural electorate composition, and broader midterm dynamics continue to underpin trader consensus around a clear Republican advantage heading into November. Key upcoming catalysts include any shifts in national polling trends or candidate fundraising.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$33,631 Vol.
$33,631 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
75%
民主党
27%
$33,631 Vol.
$33,631 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$14,395 Vol.
75%
民主党
$19,236 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open KY-06 seat, vacated after longtime Republican incumbent Andy Barr retired to pursue the U.S. Senate nomination, favors the GOP nominee Ralph Alvarado in a district with an R+7 partisan lean. Recent May 2026 primaries produced Alvarado and Democrat Zach Dembo as the general election matchups, with some internal Democratic surveys showing a competitive race around 42-39 or tied. However, the district's historical voting patterns, suburban and rural electorate composition, and broader midterm dynamics continue to underpin trader consensus around a clear Republican advantage heading into November. Key upcoming catalysts include any shifts in national polling trends or candidate fundraising.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$33,631終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open KY-06 seat, vacated after longtime Republican incumbent Andy Barr retired to pursue the U.S. Senate nomination, favors the GOP nominee Ralph Alvarado in a district with an R+7 partisan lean. Recent May 2026 primaries produced Alvarado and Democrat Zach Dembo as the general election matchups, with some internal Democratic surveys showing a competitive race around 42-39 or tied. However, the district's historical voting patterns, suburban and rural electorate composition, and broader midterm dynamics continue to underpin trader consensus around a clear Republican advantage heading into November. Key upcoming catalysts include any shifts in national polling trends or candidate fundraising.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$33,631終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open KY-06 seat, vacated after longtime Republican incumbent Andy Barr retired to pursue the U.S. Senate nomination, favors the GOP nominee Ralph Alvarado in a district with an R+7 partisan lean. Recent May 2026 primaries produced Alvarado and Democrat Zach Dembo as the general election matchups, with some internal Democratic surveys showing a competitive race around 42-39 or tied. However, the district's historical voting patterns, suburban and rural electorate composition, and broader midterm dynamics continue to underpin trader consensus around a clear Republican advantage heading into November. Key upcoming catalysts include any shifts in national polling trends or candidate fundraising.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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