Recent forecasts for Ankara on August 23, 2026, project overnight lows of 17–20°C under mostly clear, dry conditions with light winds, consistent with the month’s below-average temperatures so far. Ankara’s inland continental setting amplifies diurnal swings, where clear skies enhance radiative cooling after daytime highs near 34–36°C. Traders’ elevated implied probability on 15°C or below reflects uncertainty around model consensus and the potential for stronger nighttime heat loss amid the ongoing cool anomaly. Historical late-August minima average near 16–18°C, with values dipping lower during similar patterns. Updated ECMWF or GFS runs and official Turkish meteorological guidance in the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds as the event nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日のアンカラの最低気温は?
15℃以下 32%
17℃ 28%
18℃ 22%
16℃ 21%
15℃以下
32%
16℃
21%
17℃
28%
18℃
22%
19℃
15%
20℃
19%
21°C
6%
22℃
1%
23℃
1%
24℃
1%
25℃以上
<1%
15℃以下 32%
17℃ 28%
18℃ 22%
16℃ 21%
15℃以下
32%
16℃
21%
17℃
28%
18℃
22%
19℃
15%
20℃
19%
21°C
6%
22℃
1%
23℃
1%
24℃
1%
25℃以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Ankara on August 23, 2026, project overnight lows of 17–20°C under mostly clear, dry conditions with light winds, consistent with the month’s below-average temperatures so far. Ankara’s inland continental setting amplifies diurnal swings, where clear skies enhance radiative cooling after daytime highs near 34–36°C. Traders’ elevated implied probability on 15°C or below reflects uncertainty around model consensus and the potential for stronger nighttime heat loss amid the ongoing cool anomaly. Historical late-August minima average near 16–18°C, with values dipping lower during similar patterns. Updated ECMWF or GFS runs and official Turkish meteorological guidance in the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds as the event nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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