Recent short-range ensemble forecasts for Chongqing indicate overnight lows on September 1 centered near 22–25°C under mostly clear to hazy conditions, consistent with historical early-September averages around 21–22°C. This near-term timing and model consensus on limited nocturnal cooling from the current heat wave underpin the market-implied 46% probability for 18°C or below, reflecting trader emphasis on potential model spread, urban heat-island variability, or subtle steering influences that could produce a sharper drop. Higher outcomes near 21–24°C hold secondary support at 24–26%, while probabilities above 25°C remain low given the absence of strong cold-air advection signals. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月1日の重慶の最低気温は？
9月1日の重慶の最低気温は？
18°C or below 92%
24°C 49%
21°C 26%
22°C 26%
新規
新規
2026/09/01
18°C or below
92%
19°C
25%
20°C
25%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
25%
24°C
49%
25°C
23%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
18°C or below 92%
24°C 49%
21°C 26%
22°C 26%
新規
新規
2026/09/01
18°C or below
$0 Vol.
92%
19°C
$0 Vol.
25%
20°C
$0 Vol.
25%
21°C
$0 Vol.
26%
22°C
$0 Vol.
26%
23°C
$0 Vol.
25%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
23%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble forecasts for Chongqing indicate overnight lows on September 1 centered near 22–25°C under mostly clear to hazy conditions, consistent with historical early-September averages around 21–22°C. This near-term timing and model consensus on limited nocturnal cooling from the current heat wave underpin the market-implied 46% probability for 18°C or below, reflecting trader emphasis on potential model spread, urban heat-island variability, or subtle steering influences that could produce a sharper drop. Higher outcomes near 21–24°C hold secondary support at 24–26%, while probabilities above 25°C remain low given the absence of strong cold-air advection signals. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble forecasts for Chongqing indicate overnight lows on September 1 centered near 22–25°C under mostly clear to hazy conditions, consistent with historical early-September averages around 21–22°C. This near-term timing and model consensus on limited nocturnal cooling from the current heat wave underpin the market-implied 46% probability for 18°C or below, reflecting trader emphasis on potential model spread, urban heat-island variability, or subtle steering influences that could produce a sharper drop. Higher outcomes near 21–24°C hold secondary support at 24–26%, while probabilities above 25°C remain low given the absence of strong cold-air advection signals. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent short-range ensemble forecasts for Chongqing indicate overnight lows on September 1 centered near 22–25°C under mostly clear to hazy conditions, consistent with historical early-September averages around 21–22°C. This near-term timing and model consensus on limited nocturnal cooling from the current heat wave underpin the market-implied 46% probability for 18°C or below, reflecting trader emphasis on potential model spread, urban heat-island variability, or subtle steering influences that could produce a sharper drop. Higher outcomes near 21–24°C hold secondary support at 24–26%, while probabilities above 25°C remain low given the absence of strong cold-air advection signals. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問