Recent rainfall and associated cooling across Chongqing through August 29 have driven trader focus on potential overnight lows near or below 23°C for August 31, with official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicating a regional range of 18–38°C and central city values around 25°C amid clearing skies. Model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to partly cloudy conditions with light winds favoring minimums of 23–25°C, though localized variations and residual moisture could shift exact readings by 1–2°C. Historical August minima average near 26°C, but the recent cool spell and forecast uncertainty explain the tight clustering of probabilities around 22–25°C bins, with lower outcomes reflecting tail risks from any further destabilization. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of resolution will likely refine these market-implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日の重慶の最低気温は？
8月31日の重慶の最低気温は？
18°C or below 74%
19°C 50%
20°C 49%
21°C 49%
新規
新規
2026/08/31
18°C or below
74%
19°C
50%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
27%
23°C
37%
24°C
27%
25°C
49%
26°C
8%
27°C
8%
28°C or higher
2%
18°C or below 74%
19°C 50%
20°C 49%
21°C 49%
新規
新規
2026/08/31
18°C or below
$130 Vol.
74%
19°C
$140 Vol.
50%
20°C
$0 Vol.
49%
21°C
$0 Vol.
49%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$0 Vol.
37%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
49%
26°C
$0 Vol.
8%
27°C
$0 Vol.
8%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent rainfall and associated cooling across Chongqing through August 29 have driven trader focus on potential overnight lows near or below 23°C for August 31, with official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicating a regional range of 18–38°C and central city values around 25°C amid clearing skies. Model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to partly cloudy conditions with light winds favoring minimums of 23–25°C, though localized variations and residual moisture could shift exact readings by 1–2°C. Historical August minima average near 26°C, but the recent cool spell and forecast uncertainty explain the tight clustering of probabilities around 22–25°C bins, with lower outcomes reflecting tail risks from any further destabilization. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of resolution will likely refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$270終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent rainfall and associated cooling across Chongqing through August 29 have driven trader focus on potential overnight lows near or below 23°C for August 31, with official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicating a regional range of 18–38°C and central city values around 25°C amid clearing skies. Model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to partly cloudy conditions with light winds favoring minimums of 23–25°C, though localized variations and residual moisture could shift exact readings by 1–2°C. Historical August minima average near 26°C, but the recent cool spell and forecast uncertainty explain the tight clustering of probabilities around 22–25°C bins, with lower outcomes reflecting tail risks from any further destabilization. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of resolution will likely refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$270終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent rainfall and associated cooling across Chongqing through August 29 have driven trader focus on potential overnight lows near or below 23°C for August 31, with official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicating a regional range of 18–38°C and central city values around 25°C amid clearing skies. Model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to partly cloudy conditions with light winds favoring minimums of 23–25°C, though localized variations and residual moisture could shift exact readings by 1–2°C. Historical August minima average near 26°C, but the recent cool spell and forecast uncertainty explain the tight clustering of probabilities around 22–25°C bins, with lower outcomes reflecting tail risks from any further destabilization. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of resolution will likely refine these market-implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問