Recent heavy rainfall across Chongqing on August 28–29 has cooled surface temperatures and increased soil moisture, enhancing potential for overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover on the 30th. Official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and global models (ECMWF, GFS) indicate minimum temperatures near 23–25°C, yet trader-implied odds favor 19°C or below (46.5%) due to uncertainty in post-rain clearing timing, humidity levels near 80–90%, and light wind patterns that could allow greater heat loss. Historical August lows average 25–26°C, but the recent cooldown shifts baseline expectations downward. Resolution hinges on official station readings, with next model updates and local observations likely to refine probabilities before midnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日の重慶の最低気温は？
8月30日の重慶の最低気温は？
19°C or below 94%
20°C 50%
25°C 50%
21°C 27%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
19°C or below
94%
20°C
50%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
26%
25°C
50%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
19°C or below 94%
20°C 50%
25°C 50%
21°C 27%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
19°C or below
$0 Vol.
94%
20°C
$0 Vol.
50%
21°C
$0 Vol.
27%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$0 Vol.
50%
26°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,025 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$30 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall across Chongqing on August 28–29 has cooled surface temperatures and increased soil moisture, enhancing potential for overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover on the 30th. Official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and global models (ECMWF, GFS) indicate minimum temperatures near 23–25°C, yet trader-implied odds favor 19°C or below (46.5%) due to uncertainty in post-rain clearing timing, humidity levels near 80–90%, and light wind patterns that could allow greater heat loss. Historical August lows average 25–26°C, but the recent cooldown shifts baseline expectations downward. Resolution hinges on official station readings, with next model updates and local observations likely to refine probabilities before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$1,105終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall across Chongqing on August 28–29 has cooled surface temperatures and increased soil moisture, enhancing potential for overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover on the 30th. Official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and global models (ECMWF, GFS) indicate minimum temperatures near 23–25°C, yet trader-implied odds favor 19°C or below (46.5%) due to uncertainty in post-rain clearing timing, humidity levels near 80–90%, and light wind patterns that could allow greater heat loss. Historical August lows average 25–26°C, but the recent cooldown shifts baseline expectations downward. Resolution hinges on official station readings, with next model updates and local observations likely to refine probabilities before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,105終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent heavy rainfall across Chongqing on August 28–29 has cooled surface temperatures and increased soil moisture, enhancing potential for overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover on the 30th. Official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and global models (ECMWF, GFS) indicate minimum temperatures near 23–25°C, yet trader-implied odds favor 19°C or below (46.5%) due to uncertainty in post-rain clearing timing, humidity levels near 80–90%, and light wind patterns that could allow greater heat loss. Historical August lows average 25–26°C, but the recent cooldown shifts baseline expectations downward. Resolution hinges on official station readings, with next model updates and local observations likely to refine probabilities before midnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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