**Trader sentiment for Guangzhou's August 21, 2026 minimum temperature centers on the narrow band between 24–27°C, reflecting official forecasts of 26°C amid thunderstorms and high humidity.** The Hong Kong Observatory and aligned models project a minimum near 26°C under cloudy, moist conditions with light northeasterly winds, consistent with typical subtropical August patterns where overnight lows average 25–26°C. Thunderstorms and extensive cloud cover limit radiative cooling after sunset, supporting the elevated probabilities for 25–27°C outcomes. Clearer intervals or reduced precipitation could permit greater heat loss, pushing the minimum toward 24°C, while persistent overcast skies or urban heat retention would favor 27°C. High humidity (often 80–95%) and the city's dense built environment further modulate cooling rates. Market-implied odds capture this model uncertainty ahead of final overnight observations, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside the forecast envelope.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月21日の広州の最低気温は？
8月21日の広州の最低気温は？
24°C 53%
27°C 37%
25°C 35%
26°C 35%
新規
新規
2026/08/21
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
53%
25°C
35%
26°C
35%
27°C
37%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
24°C 53%
27°C 37%
25°C 35%
26°C 35%
新規
新規
2026/08/21
22°C or below
$180 Vol.
1%
23°C
$182 Vol.
2%
24°C
$154 Vol.
53%
25°C
$0 Vol.
35%
26°C
$0 Vol.
35%
27°C
$8 Vol.
37%
28°C
$218 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$95 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Guangzhou's August 21, 2026 minimum temperature centers on the narrow band between 24–27°C, reflecting official forecasts of 26°C amid thunderstorms and high humidity.**
The Hong Kong Observatory and aligned models project a minimum near 26°C under cloudy, moist conditions with light northeasterly winds, consistent with typical subtropical August patterns where overnight lows average 25–26°C. Thunderstorms and extensive cloud cover limit radiative cooling after sunset, supporting the elevated probabilities for 25–27°C outcomes.
Clearer intervals or reduced precipitation could permit greater heat loss, pushing the minimum toward 24°C, while persistent overcast skies or urban heat retention would favor 27°C. High humidity (often 80–95%) and the city's dense built environment further modulate cooling rates. Market-implied odds capture this model uncertainty ahead of final overnight observations, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside the forecast envelope.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
音量
$1,132終了日
2026/08/21マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Guangzhou's August 21, 2026 minimum temperature centers on the narrow band between 24–27°C, reflecting official forecasts of 26°C amid thunderstorms and high humidity.**
The Hong Kong Observatory and aligned models project a minimum near 26°C under cloudy, moist conditions with light northeasterly winds, consistent with typical subtropical August patterns where overnight lows average 25–26°C. Thunderstorms and extensive cloud cover limit radiative cooling after sunset, supporting the elevated probabilities for 25–27°C outcomes.
Clearer intervals or reduced precipitation could permit greater heat loss, pushing the minimum toward 24°C, while persistent overcast skies or urban heat retention would favor 27°C. High humidity (often 80–95%) and the city's dense built environment further modulate cooling rates. Market-implied odds capture this model uncertainty ahead of final overnight observations, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside the forecast envelope.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,132終了日
2026/08/21マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET**Trader sentiment for Guangzhou's August 21, 2026 minimum temperature centers on the narrow band between 24–27°C, reflecting official forecasts of 26°C amid thunderstorms and high humidity.** The Hong Kong Observatory and aligned models project a minimum near 26°C under cloudy, moist conditions with light northeasterly winds, consistent with typical subtropical August patterns where overnight lows average 25–26°C. Thunderstorms and extensive cloud cover limit radiative cooling after sunset, supporting the elevated probabilities for 25–27°C outcomes. Clearer intervals or reduced precipitation could permit greater heat loss, pushing the minimum toward 24°C, while persistent overcast skies or urban heat retention would favor 27°C. High humidity (often 80–95%) and the city's dense built environment further modulate cooling rates. Market-implied odds capture this model uncertainty ahead of final overnight observations, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside the forecast envelope.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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