**Trader consensus heavily favors a 23°C minimum in Guangzhou on September 10, reflecting official and model forecasts showing overnight lows stabilizing near that threshold under partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and typical late-summer humidity.** Recent observations from China Meteorological Administration guidance and international models indicate surface temperatures bottoming around 23–24°C after daytime highs near 31–33°C, consistent with September climatology where average lows reach about 24.6°C. Clearer periods overnight have limited radiative cooling below this level, while scattered showers have not produced significant evaporative or advective cooling. A realistic shift would require stronger northerly flow or heavier rainfall altering the boundary layer, though current steering patterns and model consensus make such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月10日の広州の最低気温は?
22℃ 1.6%
20℃ <1%
19℃以下 <1%
21°C <1%
19℃以下
<1%
20℃
1%
21°C
<1%
22℃
2%
23°C
-
24℃
<1%
25°C
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
<1%
28°C
<1%
29℃以上
<1%
22℃ 1.6%
20℃ <1%
19℃以下 <1%
21°C <1%
19℃以下
<1%
20℃
1%
21°C
<1%
22℃
2%
23°C
-
24℃
<1%
25°C
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
<1%
28°C
<1%
29℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus heavily favors a 23°C minimum in Guangzhou on September 10, reflecting official and model forecasts showing overnight lows stabilizing near that threshold under partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and typical late-summer humidity.** Recent observations from China Meteorological Administration guidance and international models indicate surface temperatures bottoming around 23–24°C after daytime highs near 31–33°C, consistent with September climatology where average lows reach about 24.6°C. Clearer periods overnight have limited radiative cooling below this level, while scattered showers have not produced significant evaporative or advective cooling. A realistic shift would require stronger northerly flow or heavier rainfall altering the boundary layer, though current steering patterns and model consensus make such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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