Traders have positioned overwhelmingly for a lowest temperature of 23°C in Hong Kong on May 17, reflecting verified overnight readings from the Hong Kong Observatory’s network of meteorological stations. This outcome matches the subtropical climate’s typical late-spring pattern, where persistent southerly flow and high humidity prevent significant radiational cooling, keeping minimums near seasonal norms around 22–24°C. With resolution now based on finalized observational data rather than models, the near-certain market odds indicate little scientific uncertainty remains. Only an extraordinary post-processing revision from the official agency could alter the recorded minimum, an event that historical quality-control records show occurs infrequently.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日の香港の最低気温は?
23°C 99.6%
18℃以下 <1%
28°C以上 <1%
19°C <1%
$28,520 Vol.
$28,520 Vol.
18℃以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20℃
<1%
21°C
<1%
22℃
<1%
23°C
100%
24℃
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
<1%
28°C以上
<1%
23°C 99.6%
18℃以下 <1%
28°C以上 <1%
19°C <1%
$28,520 Vol.
$28,520 Vol.
18℃以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20℃
<1%
21°C
<1%
22℃
<1%
23°C
100%
24℃
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
<1%
28°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Traders have positioned overwhelmingly for a lowest temperature of 23°C in Hong Kong on May 17, reflecting verified overnight readings from the Hong Kong Observatory’s network of meteorological stations. This outcome matches the subtropical climate’s typical late-spring pattern, where persistent southerly flow and high humidity prevent significant radiational cooling, keeping minimums near seasonal norms around 22–24°C. With resolution now based on finalized observational data rather than models, the near-certain market odds indicate little scientific uncertainty remains. Only an extraordinary post-processing revision from the official agency could alter the recorded minimum, an event that historical quality-control records show occurs infrequently.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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