**Trader consensus centers on a 26–27°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 6, reflecting model guidance and seasonal norms under developing El Niño conditions.** Recent Hong Kong Observatory data and short-range forecasts show nighttime temperatures holding in the mid- to upper-20s amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers, which limit radiative cooling. Climatologically, September overnight lows average near 25–26°C, with El Niño-enhanced warmth pushing the distribution slightly higher this year. The market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C (50.5%) and 26°C (37.5%) aligns with consensus runs from regional models showing insufficient cold-air advection or clear skies for deeper drops. Key upcoming updates include the Hong Kong Observatory’s daily 9-day forecast revisions and any adjustments to steering patterns or moisture fields that could alter cloud cover and the overnight minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月6日の香港の最低気温は？
9月6日の香港の最低気温は？
27℃ 51%
26°C 37%
25℃ 10%
28℃ 5%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
22℃以下
2%
23℃
2%
24°C
2%
25℃
10%
26°C
37%
27℃
51%
28℃
5%
29℃
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32℃以上
1%
27℃ 51%
26°C 37%
25℃ 10%
28℃ 5%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
22℃以下
$0 Vol.
2%
23℃
$0 Vol.
2%
24°C
$0 Vol.
2%
25℃
$295 Vol.
10%
26°C
$368 Vol.
37%
27℃
$804 Vol.
51%
28℃
$38 Vol.
5%
29℃
$0 Vol.
2%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32℃以上
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus centers on a 26–27°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 6, reflecting model guidance and seasonal norms under developing El Niño conditions.** Recent Hong Kong Observatory data and short-range forecasts show nighttime temperatures holding in the mid- to upper-20s amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers, which limit radiative cooling. Climatologically, September overnight lows average near 25–26°C, with El Niño-enhanced warmth pushing the distribution slightly higher this year. The market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C (50.5%) and 26°C (37.5%) aligns with consensus runs from regional models showing insufficient cold-air advection or clear skies for deeper drops. Key upcoming updates include the Hong Kong Observatory’s daily 9-day forecast revisions and any adjustments to steering patterns or moisture fields that could alter cloud cover and the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$1,505終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus centers on a 26–27°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 6, reflecting model guidance and seasonal norms under developing El Niño conditions.** Recent Hong Kong Observatory data and short-range forecasts show nighttime temperatures holding in the mid- to upper-20s amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers, which limit radiative cooling. Climatologically, September overnight lows average near 25–26°C, with El Niño-enhanced warmth pushing the distribution slightly higher this year. The market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C (50.5%) and 26°C (37.5%) aligns with consensus runs from regional models showing insufficient cold-air advection or clear skies for deeper drops. Key upcoming updates include the Hong Kong Observatory’s daily 9-day forecast revisions and any adjustments to steering patterns or moisture fields that could alter cloud cover and the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$1,505終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on a 26–27°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 6, reflecting model guidance and seasonal norms under developing El Niño conditions.** Recent Hong Kong Observatory data and short-range forecasts show nighttime temperatures holding in the mid- to upper-20s amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers, which limit radiative cooling. Climatologically, September overnight lows average near 25–26°C, with El Niño-enhanced warmth pushing the distribution slightly higher this year. The market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C (50.5%) and 26°C (37.5%) aligns with consensus runs from regional models showing insufficient cold-air advection or clear skies for deeper drops. Key upcoming updates include the Hong Kong Observatory’s daily 9-day forecast revisions and any adjustments to steering patterns or moisture fields that could alter cloud cover and the overnight minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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