Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum temperature of 25–29°C for September 4 under generally cloudy skies with isolated showers, driven by the combined effects of a weakening tropical cyclone and the northeast monsoon, which sustain moderate winds and elevated humidity that limit nighttime radiative cooling. This aligns closely with climatological norms for early September, where average overnight lows hover near 25–26°C amid transitional monsoon conditions. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread around these values, with cloud cover and light precipitation acting as the main variables that could nudge the actual minimum slightly lower. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with 25°C as the modal outcome while assigning modest probability to 24°C if showers intensify overnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月4日の香港の最低気温は？
9月4日の香港の最低気温は？
25°C 55%
26℃ 30%
24℃ 12%
27℃ 4.1%
新規
新規
2026/09/04
20℃以下
1%
21°C
<1%
22℃
1%
23°C
4%
24℃
12%
25°C
55%
26℃
30%
27℃
4%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C以上
<1%
25°C 55%
26℃ 30%
24℃ 12%
27℃ 4.1%
新規
新規
2026/09/04
20℃以下
$1,257 Vol.
1%
21°C
$84 Vol.
<1%
22℃
$265 Vol.
1%
23°C
$390 Vol.
4%
24℃
$517 Vol.
12%
25°C
$3,094 Vol.
55%
26℃
$731 Vol.
30%
27℃
$84 Vol.
4%
28°C
$165 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$566 Vol.
1%
30°C以上
$12 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum temperature of 25–29°C for September 4 under generally cloudy skies with isolated showers, driven by the combined effects of a weakening tropical cyclone and the northeast monsoon, which sustain moderate winds and elevated humidity that limit nighttime radiative cooling. This aligns closely with climatological norms for early September, where average overnight lows hover near 25–26°C amid transitional monsoon conditions. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread around these values, with cloud cover and light precipitation acting as the main variables that could nudge the actual minimum slightly lower. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with 25°C as the modal outcome while assigning modest probability to 24°C if showers intensify overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$7,166終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum temperature of 25–29°C for September 4 under generally cloudy skies with isolated showers, driven by the combined effects of a weakening tropical cyclone and the northeast monsoon, which sustain moderate winds and elevated humidity that limit nighttime radiative cooling. This aligns closely with climatological norms for early September, where average overnight lows hover near 25–26°C amid transitional monsoon conditions. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread around these values, with cloud cover and light precipitation acting as the main variables that could nudge the actual minimum slightly lower. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with 25°C as the modal outcome while assigning modest probability to 24°C if showers intensify overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$7,166終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum temperature of 25–29°C for September 4 under generally cloudy skies with isolated showers, driven by the combined effects of a weakening tropical cyclone and the northeast monsoon, which sustain moderate winds and elevated humidity that limit nighttime radiative cooling. This aligns closely with climatological norms for early September, where average overnight lows hover near 25–26°C amid transitional monsoon conditions. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread around these values, with cloud cover and light precipitation acting as the main variables that could nudge the actual minimum slightly lower. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with 25°C as the modal outcome while assigning modest probability to 24°C if showers intensify overnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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