**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 25–26°C for September 3, 2026, driven by northwest monsoon winds and residual effects from nearby tropical systems like Saola, producing partly cloudy conditions with isolated showers and limited overnight radiative cooling.** Multiple model runs and real-time observations align on this range, with dew points near 21–23°C supporting the market’s overwhelming 99.3% consensus on 25°C as the day’s low. Historical September minima in the region average around 24–26°C under similar synoptic patterns. A realistic shift below 25°C would require stronger clearing and enhanced cooling than currently projected, while readings above would need persistent cloud cover or wind shifts delaying the minimum. Updated HKO guidance and station data through the evening remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月3日の香港の最低気温は?
25°C 99.3%
24°C 3%
23°C <1%
21°C <1%
$19,756 Vol.
$19,756 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
99%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.3%
24°C 3%
23°C <1%
21°C <1%
$19,756 Vol.
$19,756 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
99%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 25–26°C for September 3, 2026, driven by northwest monsoon winds and residual effects from nearby tropical systems like Saola, producing partly cloudy conditions with isolated showers and limited overnight radiative cooling.** Multiple model runs and real-time observations align on this range, with dew points near 21–23°C supporting the market’s overwhelming 99.3% consensus on 25°C as the day’s low. Historical September minima in the region average around 24–26°C under similar synoptic patterns. A realistic shift below 25°C would require stronger clearing and enhanced cooling than currently projected, while readings above would need persistent cloud cover or wind shifts delaying the minimum. Updated HKO guidance and station data through the evening remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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