Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a mild overnight period for London on September 2, with minimum temperatures likely stabilizing near 14–16°C amid persistent cloud cover, light southerly winds, and limited radiative cooling. This setup contrasts with the long-term average low of about 12.7°C for the date, as an incoming mild air mass from the southwest and high humidity suppress sharper drops. Model consensus supports these ranges, with minimal overnight cooling expected under overcast skies and possible drizzle, positioning 15–16°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes. Updated guidance closer to the date could refine these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月2日のロンドンの最低気温は?
16°C 61%
15°C 40%
17℃ 5%
14°C 2.3%
10℃以下
1%
11℃
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
40%
16°C
61%
17℃
5%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C以上
<1%
16°C 61%
15°C 40%
17℃ 5%
14°C 2.3%
10℃以下
1%
11℃
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
40%
16°C
61%
17℃
5%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a mild overnight period for London on September 2, with minimum temperatures likely stabilizing near 14–16°C amid persistent cloud cover, light southerly winds, and limited radiative cooling. This setup contrasts with the long-term average low of about 12.7°C for the date, as an incoming mild air mass from the southwest and high humidity suppress sharper drops. Model consensus supports these ranges, with minimal overnight cooling expected under overcast skies and possible drizzle, positioning 15–16°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes. Updated guidance closer to the date could refine these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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