Marine layer depth and onshore flow are the dominant factors shaping overnight minimum temperatures in coastal Los Angeles on August 21, 2026, with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance pointing to lows near 68°F at stations such as KLAX amid a moderate inversion. This aligns with typical late-August climatology of 65–69°F, though a deeper marine layer could enhance radiational cooling and push readings into the low-to-mid 60s. Trader consensus, reflected in elevated implied probability on 61°F or below, appears driven by recent model variability and the potential for stronger evening onshore winds to exceed current forecasts, while clustered probabilities across the mid-60s to mid-70s capture remaining uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月21日のロサンゼルスの最低気温は？
8月21日のロサンゼルスの最低気温は？
68-69°F 52%
61°F or below 41%
70-71°F 28%
64-65°F 27%
新規
新規
2026/08/21
61°F or below
41%
62-63°F
13%
64-65°F
27%
66-67°F
27%
68-69°F
28%
70-71°F
28%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
2%
80°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 52%
61°F or below 41%
70-71°F 28%
64-65°F 27%
新規
新規
2026/08/21
61°F or below
$50 Vol.
41%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
13%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
27%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
27%
68-69°F
$6 Vol.
28%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
28%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
27%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
27%
76-77°F
$55 Vol.
4%
78-79°F
$32 Vol.
2%
80°F or higher
$37 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer depth and onshore flow are the dominant factors shaping overnight minimum temperatures in coastal Los Angeles on August 21, 2026, with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance pointing to lows near 68°F at stations such as KLAX amid a moderate inversion. This aligns with typical late-August climatology of 65–69°F, though a deeper marine layer could enhance radiational cooling and push readings into the low-to-mid 60s. Trader consensus, reflected in elevated implied probability on 61°F or below, appears driven by recent model variability and the potential for stronger evening onshore winds to exceed current forecasts, while clustered probabilities across the mid-60s to mid-70s capture remaining uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
音量
$180終了日
2026/08/21マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer depth and onshore flow are the dominant factors shaping overnight minimum temperatures in coastal Los Angeles on August 21, 2026, with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance pointing to lows near 68°F at stations such as KLAX amid a moderate inversion. This aligns with typical late-August climatology of 65–69°F, though a deeper marine layer could enhance radiational cooling and push readings into the low-to-mid 60s. Trader consensus, reflected in elevated implied probability on 61°F or below, appears driven by recent model variability and the potential for stronger evening onshore winds to exceed current forecasts, while clustered probabilities across the mid-60s to mid-70s capture remaining uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$180終了日
2026/08/21マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETMarine layer depth and onshore flow are the dominant factors shaping overnight minimum temperatures in coastal Los Angeles on August 21, 2026, with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance pointing to lows near 68°F at stations such as KLAX amid a moderate inversion. This aligns with typical late-August climatology of 65–69°F, though a deeper marine layer could enhance radiational cooling and push readings into the low-to-mid 60s. Trader consensus, reflected in elevated implied probability on 61°F or below, appears driven by recent model variability and the potential for stronger evening onshore winds to exceed current forecasts, while clustered probabilities across the mid-60s to mid-70s capture remaining uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問