**Recent official forecasts and model consensus point to a minimum temperature near 26°C in Lucknow on September 8, 2026, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability (45.5%).** Persistent monsoon conditions, including high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms, limit nighttime radiative cooling and support overnight lows in the mid-20s Celsius. India Meteorological Department (IMD) guidance and numerical weather prediction outputs indicate a minimum near 24–27°C, with several sources converging on 26–27°C amid generally cloudy skies and light winds. Recent developments reinforce this range: ongoing showers and overcast conditions through early September have kept recent observed minima around 25–26°C, preventing the sharper drops typical of clearer nights. No significant shift toward drier or cooler air masses is expected before September 8, though forecast uncertainty remains due to variable thunderstorm timing and intensity. Traders appear to weigh the strong model agreement for a relatively warm minimum against the possibility of localized clearer spells that could nudge the low slightly lower. Upcoming IMD and global model updates will likely refine steering patterns and cloud trends ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月8日のラクナウの最低気温は？
9月8日のラクナウの最低気温は？
23℃ 49%
24°C 49%
27°C 49%
26°C 48%
新規
新規
2026/09/08
20℃以下
4%
21℃
3%
22℃
19%
23℃
49%
24°C
49%
25℃
27%
26°C
48%
27°C
49%
28°C
24%
29°C
7%
30℃以上
4%
23℃ 49%
24°C 49%
27°C 49%
26°C 48%
新規
新規
2026/09/08
20℃以下
$6 Vol.
4%
21℃
$6 Vol.
3%
22℃
$0 Vol.
19%
23℃
$0 Vol.
49%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25℃
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$12 Vol.
48%
27°C
$0 Vol.
49%
28°C
$0 Vol.
24%
29°C
$6 Vol.
7%
30℃以上
$6 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts and model consensus point to a minimum temperature near 26°C in Lucknow on September 8, 2026, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability (45.5%).** Persistent monsoon conditions, including high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms, limit nighttime radiative cooling and support overnight lows in the mid-20s Celsius. India Meteorological Department (IMD) guidance and numerical weather prediction outputs indicate a minimum near 24–27°C, with several sources converging on 26–27°C amid generally cloudy skies and light winds.
Recent developments reinforce this range: ongoing showers and overcast conditions through early September have kept recent observed minima around 25–26°C, preventing the sharper drops typical of clearer nights. No significant shift toward drier or cooler air masses is expected before September 8, though forecast uncertainty remains due to variable thunderstorm timing and intensity. Traders appear to weigh the strong model agreement for a relatively warm minimum against the possibility of localized clearer spells that could nudge the low slightly lower. Upcoming IMD and global model updates will likely refine steering patterns and cloud trends ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 6, 2026, 1:29 AM ET
音量
$36終了日
2026/09/08マーケット開始日
Sep 6, 2026, 1:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts and model consensus point to a minimum temperature near 26°C in Lucknow on September 8, 2026, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability (45.5%).** Persistent monsoon conditions, including high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms, limit nighttime radiative cooling and support overnight lows in the mid-20s Celsius. India Meteorological Department (IMD) guidance and numerical weather prediction outputs indicate a minimum near 24–27°C, with several sources converging on 26–27°C amid generally cloudy skies and light winds.
Recent developments reinforce this range: ongoing showers and overcast conditions through early September have kept recent observed minima around 25–26°C, preventing the sharper drops typical of clearer nights. No significant shift toward drier or cooler air masses is expected before September 8, though forecast uncertainty remains due to variable thunderstorm timing and intensity. Traders appear to weigh the strong model agreement for a relatively warm minimum against the possibility of localized clearer spells that could nudge the low slightly lower. Upcoming IMD and global model updates will likely refine steering patterns and cloud trends ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$36終了日
2026/09/08マーケット開始日
Sep 6, 2026, 1:29 AM ET**Recent official forecasts and model consensus point to a minimum temperature near 26°C in Lucknow on September 8, 2026, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability (45.5%).** Persistent monsoon conditions, including high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms, limit nighttime radiative cooling and support overnight lows in the mid-20s Celsius. India Meteorological Department (IMD) guidance and numerical weather prediction outputs indicate a minimum near 24–27°C, with several sources converging on 26–27°C amid generally cloudy skies and light winds. Recent developments reinforce this range: ongoing showers and overcast conditions through early September have kept recent observed minima around 25–26°C, preventing the sharper drops typical of clearer nights. No significant shift toward drier or cooler air masses is expected before September 8, though forecast uncertainty remains due to variable thunderstorm timing and intensity. Traders appear to weigh the strong model agreement for a relatively warm minimum against the possibility of localized clearer spells that could nudge the low slightly lower. Upcoming IMD and global model updates will likely refine steering patterns and cloud trends ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問