Trader sentiment centers on National Weather Service and private model consensus projecting a minimum temperature in the mid-70s for New York City on August 10 amid an above-average August pattern with heatwave potential through mid-month. Persistent southwesterly flow, elevated dew points, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under humid conditions support overnight lows near 74–77 °F, with urban heat-island effects in Central Park adding slight upward bias. Close probabilities across the 74–77 °F bins reflect model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day cloud cover or weak frontal influence that could trim or sustain warmth. Updated short-range guidance from NOAA and local offices, along with evening observations on August 9, will refine the final reading used for market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月10日のニューヨークの最低気温は?
76~77°F 26%
74-75°F 23%
78〜79°F 19%
72〜73°F 16%
63°F以下
1%
64~65°F
1%
66〜67°F
1%
68~69°F
5%
70〜71°F
10%
72〜73°F
16%
74-75°F
23%
76~77°F
26%
78〜79°F
19%
80〜81°F
6%
華氏82度以上
2%
76~77°F 26%
74-75°F 23%
78〜79°F 19%
72〜73°F 16%
63°F以下
1%
64~65°F
1%
66〜67°F
1%
68~69°F
5%
70〜71°F
10%
72〜73°F
16%
74-75°F
23%
76~77°F
26%
78〜79°F
19%
80〜81°F
6%
華氏82度以上
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 8, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader sentiment centers on National Weather Service and private model consensus projecting a minimum temperature in the mid-70s for New York City on August 10 amid an above-average August pattern with heatwave potential through mid-month. Persistent southwesterly flow, elevated dew points, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under humid conditions support overnight lows near 74–77 °F, with urban heat-island effects in Central Park adding slight upward bias. Close probabilities across the 74–77 °F bins reflect model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day cloud cover or weak frontal influence that could trim or sustain warmth. Updated short-range guidance from NOAA and local offices, along with evening observations on August 9, will refine the final reading used for market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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